Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 22/09, 00:00
Prediction: Barracas Central vs Independiente Rivadavia
Team pages: Barracas Central · Independiente Rivadavia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.03Total
Barracas Central0.92
Independiente Rivadavia1.11
1X2
Barracas Central
Draw
Independiente Rivadavia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Barracas Central
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Independiente Rivadavia
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Barracas Central
2–2–2
Independiente Rivadavia
(6 last)
- Independiente Rivadavia1-2Barracas Central
- Barracas Central0-3Independiente Rivadavia
- Independiente Rivadavia0-0Barracas Central
- Barracas Central1-1Independiente Rivadavia
- Independiente Rivadavia1-3Barracas Central
- Barracas Central1-3Independiente Rivadavia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Barracas Central 1483 · Independiente Rivadavia 1506
| Barracas Central | Draw | Independiente Rivadavia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 33% | 39% |
| Market | 29% | 32% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.03 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Barracas Central | Independiente Rivadavia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.6 | 1.8 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Barracas Central 2–2–2 Independiente Rivadavia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Independiente Rivadavia | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Barracas Central |
| 20/07/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Independiente Rivadavia |
| 29/01/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Independiente Rivadavia | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Barracas Central |
| 07/10/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Independiente Rivadavia |
| 01/03/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Independiente Rivadavia | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Barracas Central |
| 09/10/21 Argentina Nacional B | Barracas Central | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Independiente Rivadavia |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 8 | 18 |
| 2 | Gimnasia LP | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 17 |
| 3 | Huracan | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Sarmiento | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 16 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 15 |
| 6 | Independiente Rivadavia | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 14 |
| 7 | Belgrano | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | Atlético Tucumán | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13 |
| 9 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 13 |
| 10 | CA Tigre | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| 11 | Barracas Central | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 |
| 12 | Banfield | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 9 |
| 13 | Racing Club | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 8 |
| 14 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 6 |
| 15 | CA Aldosivi | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 5 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Barracas Central | Independiente Rivadavia |
|---|---|---|
| CA Aldosivi | 1-0 W | 4-3 W |
| River Plate | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Barracas Central (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Barracas Central
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 08/09 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 01/09 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 02/08 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 29/07 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
Independiente Rivadavia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
3-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 07/09 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 31/08 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 03/08 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 31/07 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/07 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Barracas Central vs Independiente Rivadavia?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Independiente Rivadavia win (39%). Probabilities: Barracas Central 29%, draw 32%, Independiente Rivadavia 39%.
How many goals are expected in Barracas Central vs Independiente Rivadavia?
The model expects 2.03 goals (Barracas Central 0.92 · Independiente Rivadavia 1.11), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Barracas Central vs Independiente Rivadavia?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.