Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 20/09, 22:00
Prediction: Platense vs Newell's
Team pages: Platense · Newell's
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.07Total
Platense1.22
Newell's0.85
1X2
Platense
Draw
Newell's
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Platense
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Newell's
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Platense
0–5–1
Newell's
(6 last)
- Newell's1-1Platense
- Newell's2-0Platense
- Newell's0-0Platense
- Platense0-0Newell's
- Platense2-2Newell's
- Platense1-1Newell's
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Platense 1472 · Newell's 1528
| Platense | Draw | Newell's | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 32% | 25% |
| Market | 43% | 33% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.07 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Newell's (rating 1472 vs 1528).
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Platense | Newell's | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 0/50/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4 | 3.1 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Platense 0–5–1 Newell's
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Newell's | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Platense |
| 11/05/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Newell's | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Platense |
| 16/03/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Newell's | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Platense |
| 31/10/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Platense | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Newell's |
| 29/01/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Platense | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Newell's |
| 10/07/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Platense | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Newell's |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | CA Independiente | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 17 |
| 6 | Boca Juniors | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 14 |
| 7 | Lanus | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Newell's | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Union Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 16 | 13 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Estudiantes LP | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 13 | Platense | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 14 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 8 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Platense | Newell's |
|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes LP | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Riestra | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Defensa y Justicia | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Boca Juniors | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| CA Independiente | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| CA Talleres de Córdoba | 0-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Newell's (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Platense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 01/09 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 04/08 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 30/07 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
Newell's
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 06/09 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 01/09 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 31/07 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 25/07 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 05/05 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Platense vs Newell's?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Platense win (43%). Probabilities: Platense 43%, draw 32%, Newell's 24%.
How many goals are expected in Platense vs Newell's?
The model expects 2.07 goals (Platense 1.22 · Newell's 0.85), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Platense vs Newell's?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.