Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 19/09, 19:30
Prediction: Gimnasia Mendoza vs Deportivo Riestra
Team pages: Gimnasia Mendoza · Deportivo Riestra
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.9Total
Gimnasia Mendoza1.13
Deportivo Riestra0.77
1X2
Gimnasia Mendoza
Draw
Deportivo Riestra
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Gimnasia Mendoza
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Riestra
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gimnasia Mendoza
1–5–0
Deportivo Riestra
(6 last)
- Deportivo Riestra0-0Gimnasia Mendoza
- Deportivo Riestra0-0Gimnasia Mendoza
- Deportivo Riestra0-0Gimnasia Mendoza
- Gimnasia Mendoza1-1Deportivo Riestra
- Deportivo Riestra1-3Gimnasia Mendoza
- Deportivo Riestra0-0Gimnasia Mendoza
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gimnasia Mendoza 1538 · Deportivo Riestra 1495
| Gimnasia Mendoza | Draw | Deportivo Riestra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 34% | 23% |
| Market | 43% | 33% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.9 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gimnasia Mendoza (rating 1538 vs 1495).
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gimnasia Mendoza | Deportivo Riestra | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1 | 1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.5 | 1.7 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.2 | 4.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimnasia Mendoza 1–5–0 Deportivo Riestra
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Deportivo Riestra | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia Mendoza |
| 23/03/22 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Riestra | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia Mendoza |
| 18/10/21 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Riestra | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia Mendoza |
| 23/06/21 Argentina Nacional B | Gimnasia Mendoza | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Riestra |
| 14/12/20 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Riestra | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia Mendoza |
| 07/10/19 Argentina Nacional B | Deportivo Riestra | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia Mendoza |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 14 |
| 6 | Union Santa Fe | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 13 |
| 7 | Newell's | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | CA Independiente | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| 9 | Estudiantes LP | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| 10 | Lanus | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 |
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 13 | Platense | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 14 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 8 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 7 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gimnasia Mendoza | Deportivo Riestra |
|---|---|---|
| Defensa y Justicia | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Boca Juniors | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| CA Independiente | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Deportivo Riestra (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gimnasia Mendoza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/09 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 31/08 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 18/08 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 09/08 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 01/08 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/07 | Central Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 04/05 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
Deportivo Riestra
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 16/08 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 08/08 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/07 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 27/07 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 24/04 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gimnasia Mendoza vs Deportivo Riestra?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimnasia Mendoza win (43%). Probabilities: Gimnasia Mendoza 43%, draw 33%, Deportivo Riestra 24%.
How many goals are expected in Gimnasia Mendoza vs Deportivo Riestra?
The model expects 1.9 goals (Gimnasia Mendoza 1.13 · Deportivo Riestra 0.77), with a 51% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Gimnasia Mendoza vs Deportivo Riestra?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.