Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 19/09, 19:30
Prediction: Gimnasia LP vs Banfield
Team pages: Gimnasia LP · Banfield
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Gimnasia LP1.8
Banfield0.93
1X2
Gimnasia LP
Draw
Banfield
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Gimnasia LP
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Banfield
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gimnasia LP
3–1–2
Banfield
(6 last)
- Banfield1-2Gimnasia LP
- Gimnasia LP3-0Banfield
- Gimnasia LP1-2Banfield
- Banfield2-0Gimnasia LP
- Banfield0-0Gimnasia LP
- Banfield0-2Gimnasia LP
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gimnasia LP 1545 · Banfield 1464
| Gimnasia LP | Draw | Banfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 25% | 18% |
| Market | 56% | 27% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gimnasia LP (rating 1545 vs 1464).
- H2H favours Gimnasia LP: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gimnasia LP | Banfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 1.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.3 | 1.6 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimnasia LP 3–1–2 Banfield
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Banfield | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Gimnasia LP |
| 26/05/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Gimnasia LP | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Banfield |
| 14/04/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Gimnasia LP | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Banfield |
| 25/11/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Banfield | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia LP |
| 12/02/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Banfield | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gimnasia LP |
| 09/10/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Banfield | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Gimnasia LP |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Sarmiento | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 15 |
| 3 | Gimnasia LP | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 15 |
| 4 | Atlético Tucumán | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 6 | CA Tigre | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | Independiente Rivadavia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 |
| 10 | River Plate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 11 | Huracan | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 12 | Banfield | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
| 13 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 6 |
| 14 | CA Aldosivi | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 5 |
| 15 | Racing Club | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gimnasia LP | Banfield |
|---|---|---|
| Barracas Central | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| River Plate | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Racing Club | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Gimnasia LP (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gimnasia LP
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 09/08 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 02/08 | Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 30/07 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 8 | W |
Banfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 30/08 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 23/08 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 15/08 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/07 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 27/04 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gimnasia LP vs Banfield?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimnasia LP win (56%). Probabilities: Gimnasia LP 56%, draw 26%, Banfield 17%.
How many goals are expected in Gimnasia LP vs Banfield?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Gimnasia LP 1.8 · Banfield 0.93), with a 54% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Gimnasia LP vs Banfield?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.