Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 19/09, 02:15
Prediction: Racing Club vs Sarmiento
Team pages: Racing Club · Sarmiento
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.38Total
Racing Club1.62
Sarmiento0.76
1X2
Racing Club
Draw
Sarmiento
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Racing Club
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Sarmiento
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Racing Club
1–3–2
Sarmiento
(6 last)
- Sarmiento0-0Racing Club
- Sarmiento1-0Racing Club
- Racing Club0-1Sarmiento
- Sarmiento1-1Racing Club
- Racing Club1-0Sarmiento
- Sarmiento1-1Racing Club
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Racing Club 1486 · Sarmiento 1509
| Racing Club | Draw | Sarmiento | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 27% | 16% |
| Market | 56% | 27% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.38 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sarmiento: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Racing Club | Sarmiento | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1 / 4 | 1.9 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.3 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Club 1–3–2 Sarmiento
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Sarmiento | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Racing Club |
| 24/07/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Sarmiento | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Racing Club |
| 06/03/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Racing Club | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sarmiento |
| 20/10/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Sarmiento | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Racing Club |
| 12/03/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Racing Club | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Sarmiento |
| 03/07/22 Argentina Liga Profesional | Sarmiento | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Racing Club |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Sarmiento | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 15 |
| 3 | Gimnasia LP | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 15 |
| 4 | Independiente Rivadavia | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 14 |
| 5 | River Plate | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 13 |
| 6 | Atlético Tucumán | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Belgrano | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | CA Tigre | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| 9 | Rosario Central | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Barracas Central | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11 |
| 11 | Huracan | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 12 | Banfield | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 7 |
| 13 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 6 |
| 14 | CA Aldosivi | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 5 |
| 15 | Racing Club | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Racing Club | Sarmiento |
|---|---|---|
| Atlético Tucumán | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Independiente Rivadavia | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Banfield | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Argentinos Jrs | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| CA Tigre | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Estudiantes LP | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Sarmiento (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Racing Club
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 31/08 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 10/08 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | L |
| 02/08 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 29/07 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 25/07 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Rosario Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
Sarmiento
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 23/08 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 16/08 | Huracan Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 08/08 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 03/08 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 29/07 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 24/07 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 03/05 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Racing Club vs Sarmiento?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Racing Club win (57%). Probabilities: Racing Club 57%, draw 27%, Sarmiento 16%.
How many goals are expected in Racing Club vs Sarmiento?
The model expects 2.38 goals (Racing Club 1.62 · Sarmiento 0.76), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Racing Club vs Sarmiento?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.