Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 19/09, 00:00
Prediction: Central Cordoba vs Defensa y Justicia
Team pages: Central Cordoba · Defensa y Justicia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.13Total
Central Cordoba1.06
Defensa y Justicia1.06
1X2
Central Cordoba
Draw
Defensa y Justicia
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Central Cordoba
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Defensa y Justicia
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Central Cordoba
3–2–1
Defensa y Justicia
(6 last)
- Defensa y Justicia1-1Central Cordoba
- Central Cordoba2-1Defensa y Justicia
- Defensa y Justicia2-1Central Cordoba
- Central Cordoba2-0Defensa y Justicia
- Defensa y Justicia1-1Central Cordoba
- Central Cordoba2-1Defensa y Justicia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Central Cordoba 1440 · Defensa y Justicia 1519
| Central Cordoba | Draw | Defensa y Justicia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 32% | 34% |
| Market | 34% | 32% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.13 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Defensa y Justicia (rating 1440 vs 1519).
- H2H favours Central Cordoba: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Central Cordoba | Defensa y Justicia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.9 | 2.5 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Central Cordoba 3–2–1 Defensa y Justicia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Defensa y Justicia | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Central Cordoba |
| 28/07/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Central Cordoba | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Defensa y Justicia |
| 03/02/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Defensa y Justicia | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Central Cordoba |
| 11/08/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Central Cordoba | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Defensa y Justicia |
| 21/02/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Defensa y Justicia | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Central Cordoba |
| 24/09/23 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Central Cordoba | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Defensa y Justicia |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 17 |
| 2 | Defensa y Justicia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 14 |
| 6 | Union Santa Fe | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 13 |
| 7 | Newell's | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | CA Independiente | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| 9 | Estudiantes LP | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| 10 | Lanus | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 |
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 13 | Platense | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 9 |
| 14 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 8 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 7 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Central Cordoba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 1 | L |
| 30/08 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 25/08 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 17/08 | Instituto AC Cordoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/08 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 04/08 | San Lorenzo Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 31/07 | Atlético Tucumán Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
Defensa y Justicia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/09 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/09 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 23/08 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
| 18/08 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 09/08 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 29/07 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 24/07 | CA Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 04/05 | Gimnasia Mendoza Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Central Cordoba vs Defensa y Justicia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Central Cordoba win (34%). Probabilities: Central Cordoba 34%, draw 32%, Defensa y Justicia 34%.
How many goals are expected in Central Cordoba vs Defensa y Justicia?
The model expects 2.13 goals (Central Cordoba 1.06 · Defensa y Justicia 1.06), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Central Cordoba vs Defensa y Justicia?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.