Prediction: Auxerre vs Brest
- Auxerre3-0Brest
- Brest2-0Auxerre
- Brest2-2Auxerre
- Auxerre3-0Brest
- Brest1-0Auxerre
- Auxerre1-1Brest
| Auxerre | Draw | Brest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 26% | 39% |
| Market | 34% | 28% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Auxerre (rating 1507 vs 1447).
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Auxerre | Brest | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.8 | 1.5 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.7 | 2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 2.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Auxerre 2–2–2 Brest
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 France Ligue 1 | Auxerre | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Brest |
| 04/01/26 France Ligue 1 | Brest | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Auxerre |
| 14/02/25 France Ligue 1 | Brest | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Auxerre |
| 27/09/24 France Ligue 1 | Auxerre | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Brest |
| 14/05/23 France Ligue 1 | Brest | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Auxerre |
| 02/10/22 France Ligue 1 | Auxerre | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Brest |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lille | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Monaco | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Rennes | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Lyon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 7 | Brest | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | Lorient | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 9 | Lens | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| 10 | Angers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | Troyes | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 12 | Marseille | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Le Mans | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 3 |
| 14 | Auxerre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
| 15 | PSG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | Toulouse | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Nice | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Auxerre | Brest |
|---|---|---|
| Angers | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Lens | 2-5 L | 3-3 D |
| Nantes | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Brest (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Auxerre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/08 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 22/08 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 2-5 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Nantes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
Brest
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Le Mans France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 17/05 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 13/05 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
3-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | Nantes France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 04/04 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Auxerre vs Brest?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Brest win (39%). Probabilities: Auxerre 35%, draw 27%, Brest 39%.
How many goals are expected in Auxerre vs Brest?
The model expects 3.16 goals (Auxerre 1.53 · Brest 1.63), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Auxerre vs Brest?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.