Prediction: Paris FC vs Strasbourg
Team pages: Paris FC · Strasbourg
- Strasbourg0-0Paris FC
- Paris FC2-3Strasbourg
- Strasbourg2-1Paris FC
- Paris FC1-1Strasbourg
| Paris FC | Draw | Strasbourg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 24% | 27% |
| Market | 48% | 25% | 26% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paris FC (rating 1540 vs 1479).
- H2H favours Strasbourg: 2-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Paris FC | Strasbourg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.8 | 2.1 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.7 | 1.9 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.1 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Paris FC 0–2–2 Strasbourg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 France Ligue 1 | Strasbourg | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Paris FC |
| 21/09/25 France Ligue 1 | Paris FC | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Strasbourg |
| 30/01/15 France Ligue 3 | Strasbourg | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Paris FC |
| 22/08/14 France Ligue 3 | Paris FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Strasbourg |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Rennes | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Lyon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 7 | Brest | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | Lorient | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 9 | Angers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Troyes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Marseille | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Auxerre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
| 14 | Le Mans | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 14 | PSG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | Toulouse | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Nice | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Paris FC | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 3-2 W | 0-4 L |
| Troyes | 0-0 D | 6-2 W |
| Rennes | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Brest | 4-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Monaco | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Paris FC (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paris FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 22/08 | Troyes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 9 | L |
| 19/04 | Metz France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/04 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
Strasbourg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Troyes France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 6-2 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
1-3 | 5-4 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | Rennes France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paris FC vs Strasbourg?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Paris FC win (49%). Probabilities: Paris FC 49%, draw 25%, Strasbourg 27%.
How many goals are expected in Paris FC vs Strasbourg?
The model expects 3.35 goals (Paris FC 1.94 · Strasbourg 1.41), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Paris FC vs Strasbourg?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.