Prediction: Toulouse vs Le Havre
Team pages: Toulouse · Le Havre
- Le Havre2-1Toulouse
- Toulouse0-0Le Havre
- Le Havre1-4Toulouse
- Toulouse2-0Le Havre
- Le Havre1-0Toulouse
- Toulouse1-2Le Havre
| Toulouse | Draw | Le Havre | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 28% | 20% |
| Market | 52% | 27% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Le Havre: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Toulouse | Le Havre | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.1 | 1.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.8 | 2.2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.3 | 3.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Toulouse 2–1–3 Le Havre
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 France Ligue 1 | Le Havre | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Toulouse |
| 02/11/25 France Ligue 1 | Toulouse | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Le Havre |
| 23/02/25 France Ligue 1 | Le Havre | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Toulouse |
| 15/09/24 France Ligue 1 | Toulouse | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Le Havre |
| 10/03/24 France Ligue 1 | Le Havre | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Toulouse |
| 05/11/23 France Ligue 1 | Toulouse | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Le Havre |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lille | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Monaco | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 3 | Rennes | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Lyon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 7 | PSG | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| 7 | Brest | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 |
| 9 | Lorient | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 10 | Lens | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | Angers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 12 | Troyes | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
| 13 | Marseille | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 14 | Le Mans | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | Toulouse | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Nice | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Toulouse | Le Havre |
|---|---|---|
| Lorient | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Lille | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Brest | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Lyon | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Monaco | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Le Havre (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Toulouse
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 03/09 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 29/08 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 03/05 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/04 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 17/04 | Lens France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
Le Havre
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Monaco France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Metz France Ligue 1 |
2-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Angers France Ligue 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Toulouse vs Le Havre?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Toulouse win (52%). Probabilities: Toulouse 52%, draw 27%, Le Havre 21%.
How many goals are expected in Toulouse vs Le Havre?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Toulouse 1.55 · Le Havre 0.89), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Toulouse vs Le Havre?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.