Prediction: Monaco vs Lens
- Lens2-3Monaco
- Monaco1-4Lens
- Lens4-0Monaco
- Monaco1-1Lens
- Lens2-3Monaco
- Lens2-2Monaco
| Monaco | Draw | Lens | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 24% | 32% |
| Market | 43% | 26% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 13.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Monaco | Lens | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.7 | 1.8 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6 | 3.4 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Monaco 2–2–2 Lens
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 France Ligue 1 | Lens | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Monaco |
| 08/11/25 France Ligue 1 | Monaco | 1-4 HT 1-3 | Lens |
| 17/05/25 France Ligue 1 | Lens | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Monaco |
| 01/09/24 France Ligue 1 | Monaco | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Lens |
| 25/02/24 France Ligue 1 | Lens | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Monaco |
| 07/01/24 France Cup | Lens | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Monaco |
Standings · France Ligue 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 2 | Rennes | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Lyon | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Paris FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 7 | Brest | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| 8 | Lorient | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 9 | Angers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| 10 | Troyes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Marseille | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 13 | Auxerre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
| 14 | Le Mans | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 14 | PSG | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 17 | Toulouse | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Nice | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Monaco | Lens |
|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| PSG | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Lille | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Toulouse | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Auxerre | 2-2 D | 5-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Monaco (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Monaco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 04/09 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Marseille France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Le Havre France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
3-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Metz France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 10/04 | Paris FC France Ligue 1 |
1-3 | 1-4 | 11 | 1 | L |
Lens
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Lorient France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 29/08 | Strasbourg France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Auxerre France Ligue 1 |
1-0 | 5-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Lyon France Ligue 1 |
3-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 13/05 | PSG France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Nantes France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Nice France Ligue 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 24/04 | Brest France Ligue 1 |
0-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 17/04 | Toulouse France Ligue 1 |
0-2 | 3-2 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | Lille France Ligue 1 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Monaco vs Lens?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Monaco win (43%). Probabilities: Monaco 43%, draw 25%, Lens 32%.
How many goals are expected in Monaco vs Lens?
The model expects 3.52 goals (Monaco 1.9 · Lens 1.62), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Monaco vs Lens?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.