Football · Israel Liga Alef North · 18/09, 11:30
Prediction: FC Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Team pages: FC Tzeirey Tamra
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.94Total
FC Tzeirey Tamra1.47
Hapoel Tirat Karmel1.47
1X2
FC Tzeirey Tamra
Draw
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Tzeirey Tamra
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1–1
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
(2 last)
- Hapoel Tirat Karmel0-2FC Tzeirey Tamra
- FC Tzeirey Tamra1-4Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Tzeirey Tamra 1404 · Hapoel Tirat Karmel 1417
| FC Tzeirey Tamra | Draw | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 27% | 37% |
| Market | 36% | 27% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Tzeirey Tamra | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.5 | 0.6 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/33/44% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.7 | 1 / 2.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Tzeirey Tamra 1–0–1 Hapoel Tirat Karmel
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 Israel Liga Alef North | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 0-2 HT 0-1 | FC Tzeirey Tamra |
| 26/09/25 Israel Liga Alef North | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 1-4 HT 0-4 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel |
Standings · Israel Liga Alef North · Liga Alef 26/27, North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ironi Nesher | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sport Club Tira | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Beitar Nahariya | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 7 | Hapoel Nof HaGalil | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 8 | Maccabi Umm al-Fahm | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 10 | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | Hapoel Beit Shean | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Hapoel Bnei Jat United | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Tzeirey Tamra | Hapoel Tirat Karmel |
|---|---|---|
| Ironi Nesher | 1-6 L | 1-1 D |
| Hapoel Beit Shean | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Hapoel Tirat Karmel (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Tzeirey Tamra
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/09 | Ironi Nesher Israel Liga Alef North |
0-2 | 1-6 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 27/02 | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North |
0-1 | 0-2 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 22/02 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 13/02 | Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 06/02 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel Israel Liga Alef North |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 30/01 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 24/01 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 16/01 | Hapoel Beit Shean Israel Liga Alef North |
1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 09/01 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North |
2-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | D |
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 19/02 | Hapoel Beit Shean Israel Liga Alef North |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 13/02 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 06/02 | FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 30/01 | Ironi Nesher Israel Liga Alef North |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 23/01 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Liga Alef North |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 16/01 | Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 11/01 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 06/01 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/01 | Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Tzeirey Tamra win (37%). Probabilities: FC Tzeirey Tamra 37%, draw 27%, Hapoel Tirat Karmel 37%.
How many goals are expected in FC Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel?
The model expects 2.94 goals (FC Tzeirey Tamra 1.47 · Hapoel Tirat Karmel 1.47), with a 59% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.