Football · Israel Liga Alef North · 01/11, 16:00
Prediction: Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Team pages: Ironi Nesher · Hapoel Ironi Arraba
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.72Total
Ironi Nesher2.86
Hapoel Ironi Arraba0.86
1X2
Ironi Nesher
Draw
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Ironi Nesher
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ironi Nesher
1–2–0
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
(3 last)
- Ironi Nesher3-1Hapoel Ironi Arraba
- Hapoel Ironi Arraba2-2Ironi Nesher
- Hapoel Ironi Arraba0-0Ironi Nesher
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ironi Nesher 1579 · Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1424
| Ironi Nesher | Draw | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 78% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 79% | 12% | 8% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ironi Nesher (rating 1579 vs 1424).
- Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ironi Nesher | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1 | 0.7 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.2 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 78/11/11% | 33/22/44% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.1 | 1.2 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.4 / 0.4 | 5.4 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ironi Nesher 1–2–0 Hapoel Ironi Arraba
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/26 Israel Liga Alef North | Ironi Nesher | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba |
| 10/10/25 Israel Liga Alef North | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Ironi Nesher |
| 13/12/24 Israel Liga Alef North | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 0-0 | Ironi Nesher |
Standings · Israel Liga Alef North · Liga Alef 26/27, North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Club Tira | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 2 | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 18 |
| 3 | Ironi Nesher | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Beitar Nahariya | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Hapoel Beit Shean | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 8 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 11 |
| 9 | Hapoel Nof HaGalil | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
| 10 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 10 |
| 11 | Hapoel Bnei Jat United | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 9 |
| 12 | Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 8 |
| 13 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 7 |
| 14 | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 6 |
| 15 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 6 |
| 16 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 5 |
| 17 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ironi Nesher | Hapoel Ironi Arraba |
|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 2-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | 4-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Sport Club Tira | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Beitar Nahariya | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| FC Tzeirey Tamra | 6-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Hapoel Migdal Haemeq | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Ironi Nesher (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ironi Nesher
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North |
– | 2-1 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 16/10 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 08/10 | Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 30/09 | Beitar Nahariya Israel Liga Alef North |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/09 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 18/09 | Maccabi Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North |
2-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 09/09 | Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 04/09 | FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North |
2-0 | 6-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 27/02 | Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 19/02 | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 9 | L |
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad Israel Liga Alef North |
0-2 | 1-5 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 19/10 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus Israel Liga Alef North |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 11 | W |
| 09/10 | Hapoel Bnei Jat United Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
| 30/09 | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 24/09 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 19/09 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North |
0-1 | 0-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 10/09 | Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North |
– | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | Beitar Nahariya Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 27/02 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 22/02 | FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ironi Nesher win (79%). Probabilities: Ironi Nesher 79%, draw 13%, Hapoel Ironi Arraba 8%.
How many goals are expected in Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?
The model expects 3.72 goals (Ironi Nesher 2.86 · Hapoel Ironi Arraba 0.86), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Ironi Nesher vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.