Football · Israel Liga Alef North · 02/11, 14:00
Prediction: FC Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
Team pages: FC Tzeirey Tamra · Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.33Total
FC Tzeirey Tamra1.22
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel2.11
1X2
FC Tzeirey Tamra
Draw
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Tzeirey Tamra
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Tzeirey Tamra
2–4–0
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
(6 last)
- FC Tzeirey Tamra3-3Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
- FC Tzeirey Tamra1-0Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Hapoel Ironi Karmiel2-2FC Tzeirey Tamra
- FC Tzeirey Tamra2-2Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
- Hapoel Ironi Karmiel1-1FC Tzeirey Tamra
- Hapoel Ironi Karmiel1-3FC Tzeirey Tamra
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Tzeirey Tamra 1427 · Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1537
| FC Tzeirey Tamra | Draw | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 20% | 23% | 57% |
| Market | 21% | 22% | 57% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (rating 1427 vs 1537).
- H2H favours FC Tzeirey Tamra: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Tzeirey Tamra | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.3 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 13/25/63% | 11/67/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.9 | 2.1 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 6.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Tzeirey Tamra 2–4–0 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01/26 Israel Liga Alef North | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 3-3 HT 2-3 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel |
| 07/02/25 Israel Liga Bet North | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel |
| 05/09/24 Israel Cup | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 2-2 HT 0-1 | FC Tzeirey Tamra |
| 02/05/24 Israel Liga Bet Play-Offs | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel |
| 08/04/24 Israel Liga Bet North | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FC Tzeirey Tamra |
| 24/02/24 Israel Liga Bet North | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 1-3 HT 1-1 | FC Tzeirey Tamra |
Standings · Israel Liga Alef North · Liga Alef 26/27, North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Club Tira | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 2 | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 12 | 18 |
| 3 | Ironi Nesher | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Beitar Nahariya | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Hapoel Beit Shean | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 12 |
| 8 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 11 |
| 9 | Hapoel Nof HaGalil | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
| 10 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 17 | 10 |
| 11 | Hapoel Bnei Jat United | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 9 |
| 12 | Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | 8 |
| 13 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 7 |
| 14 | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 6 |
| 15 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 6 |
| 16 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 5 |
| 17 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Tzeirey Tamra | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Nof HaGalil | 3-2 W | 3-3 D |
| Hapoel Beit Shean | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 1-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Ironi Nesher | 1-6 L | 1-1 D |
| Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Sport Club Tira | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 1 W 5 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Tzeirey Tamra
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 08/10 | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 30/09 | Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Liga Alef North |
1-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 23/09 | Hapoel Beit Shean Israel Liga Alef North |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/09 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel Israel Liga Alef North |
0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 09/09 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/09 | Ironi Nesher Israel Liga Alef North |
0-2 | 1-6 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 27/02 | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North |
0-1 | 0-2 | 13 | 4 | L |
| 22/02 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 13/02 | Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Liga Alef North |
3-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 10 | D |
| 19/10 | Hapoel Beit Shean Israel Liga Alef North |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 08/10 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 01/10 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 23/09 | Ironi Nesher Israel Liga Alef North |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 19/09 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 10/09 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus Israel Liga Alef North |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 8 | W |
| 04/09 | Hapoel Bnei Jat United Israel Liga Alef North |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 27/02 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 19/02 | Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win (57%). Probabilities: FC Tzeirey Tamra 21%, draw 22%, Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 57%.
How many goals are expected in FC Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
The model expects 3.33 goals (FC Tzeirey Tamra 1.22 · Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 2.11), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Ironi Karmiel?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.