Football · Israel Liga Alef South · 24/10, 19:45

Prediction: Kfar Saba 1928 vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

Team pages: Kfar Saba 1928 · Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.61Total

Kfar Saba 19281.26

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod1.34

1X2

34% 28% 38%

Kfar Saba 1928 Draw Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Kfar Saba 1928 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 1-6-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Kfar Saba 1928 1–1–0 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod (2 last)

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod1-1Kfar Saba 1928
Kfar Saba 19283-0Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kfar Saba 1928 1459 · Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 1473

	Kfar Saba 1928	Draw	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Our model	34%	29%	37%
Market	34%	28%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kfar Saba 1928	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.9	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2.2	1.9 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.2	4.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.20

22.38

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 09:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.63▲	Bet365 2.63
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.80 → 2.38▼	Bet365 2.38

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
07:00 +13’	2.25	3.20	2.80
09:09 +7’	2.63▲	3.20	2.38▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kfar Saba 1928 1–1–0 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/01/26 Israel Liga Alef South	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1-1 HT 0-0	Kfar Saba 1928
12/09/25 Israel Liga Alef South	Kfar Saba 1928	3-0 HT 0-0	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

Standings · Israel Liga Alef South · Liga Alef 26/27, South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shimshon Tel Aviv	7	5	1	1	14	6	16
2	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	7	4	3	0	15	6	15
3	Sport Club Dimona	6	5	0	1	12	8	15
4	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon	7	4	3	0	7	3	15
5	Hapoel Holon Yaniv	7	4	1	2	11	6	13
6	Hapoel Herzliya	8	3	4	1	9	9	13
7	Hapoel Hadera	7	3	3	1	9	4	12
8	MS Jerusalem	7	3	2	2	11	9	11
9	Hapoel Azor	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
10	Maccabi Yavne	7	2	3	2	10	6	9
11	Hapoel Marmorek	7	2	2	3	9	8	8
12	Maccabi Ironi Sderot	7	2	2	3	9	10	8
13	Ironi Beit Shemesh	7	2	2	3	11	17	8
14	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	7	1	4	2	8	8	7
15	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	7	1	3	3	8	10	6
16	Kfar Saba 1928	7	1	1	5	7	11	4
17	Tzeirey Tira	7	0	0	7	2	14	0
18	AS Nordia Jerusalem	7	0	0	7	3	22	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kfar Saba 1928	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Shimshon Tel Aviv	0-3 L	0-1 L
Hapoel Marmorek	2-2 D	1-1 D
Hapoel Holon Yaniv	0-1 L	2-0 W
Hapoel Hadera	0-1 L	1-1 D
Ironi Beit Shemesh	4-1 W	2-2 D
MS Jerusalem	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Maccabi Ironi Ashdod (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kfar Saba 1928

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/10	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
09/10	Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South	0-3	0-3	2	1	L
01/10	Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South	2-1	2-2	3	5	D
24/09	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
17/09	Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-1	2	8	L
09/09	Ironi Beit Shemesh Israel Liga Alef South	2-0	4-1	1	8	W
04/09	MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	0-2	1-2	6	4	L
27/02	Maccabi Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	2-4	1	6	L
19/02	Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
13/02	Maccabi Kiryat Gat Israel Liga Alef South	1-1	1-4	1	3	L

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
08/10	Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
30/09	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	2-0	2	6	W
24/09	Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
18/09	Ironi Beit Shemesh Israel Liga Alef South	1-1	2-2	9	3	D
09/09	MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
03/09	Hapoel Herzliya Israel Liga Alef South	1-2	1-2	4	6	L
27/02	Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South	1-1	1-1	3	7	D
13/02	MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	1-1	3-3	2	5	D
06/02	Tzeirey Tira Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	0-3	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kfar Saba 1928 vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Maccabi Ironi Ashdod win (38%). Probabilities: Kfar Saba 1928 34%, draw 28%, Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 38%.

How many goals are expected in Kfar Saba 1928 vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod?

The model expects 2.61 goals (Kfar Saba 1928 1.26 · Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 1.34), with a 55% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kfar Saba 1928 vs Maccabi Ironi Ashdod?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.