Football · Israel Liga Alef South · 30/10, 11:30

Prediction: Sport Club Dimona vs Hapoel Herzliya

Team pages: Sport Club Dimona · Hapoel Herzliya

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

Sport Club Dimona1.6

Hapoel Herzliya0.89

1X2

53% 26% 20%

Sport Club Dimona Draw Hapoel Herzliya

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Sport Club Dimona 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWLWWW

Hapoel Herzliya 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DLWWDWDDDL

Head-to-head

Sport Club Dimona 3–1–2 Hapoel Herzliya (6 last)

Hapoel Herzliya0-0Sport Club Dimona
Sport Club Dimona3-0Hapoel Herzliya
Hapoel Herzliya2-1Sport Club Dimona
Hapoel Herzliya1-4Sport Club Dimona
Sport Club Dimona0-1Hapoel Herzliya
Hapoel Herzliya0-1Sport Club Dimona

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sport Club Dimona 1560 · Hapoel Herzliya 1489

	Sport Club Dimona	Draw	Hapoel Herzliya
Our model	53%	27%	20%
Market	54%	26%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sport Club Dimona (rating 1560 vs 1489).
H2H favours Sport Club Dimona: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sport Club Dimona	Hapoel Herzliya
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.4	1 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/44/11%	22/56/22%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.6	1.8 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.8 / 0.7	4.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.50

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.98

Under 2.51.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
01:05 +3’	1.67	3.50	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sport Club Dimona 3–1–2 Hapoel Herzliya

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/12/25 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Herzliya	0-0 HT 0-0	Sport Club Dimona
25/04/25 Israel Liga Alef South	Sport Club Dimona	3-0	Hapoel Herzliya
30/12/24 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Herzliya	2-1 HT 1-0	Sport Club Dimona
12/03/24 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Herzliya	1-4 HT 0-4	Sport Club Dimona
19/12/23 Israel Liga Alef South	Sport Club Dimona	0-1 HT 0-1	Hapoel Herzliya
18/03/23 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Herzliya	0-1 HT 0-0	Sport Club Dimona

Standings · Israel Liga Alef South · Liga Alef 26/27, South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shimshon Tel Aviv	8	6	1	1	17	6	19
2	Sport Club Dimona	7	6	0	1	14	8	18
3	Hapoel Holon Yaniv	8	5	1	2	14	6	16
4	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	8	4	3	1	15	7	15
5	Hapoel Hadera	8	4	3	1	10	4	15
6	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon	8	4	3	1	7	5	15
7	Hapoel Herzliya	8	3	4	1	9	9	13
8	Maccabi Ironi Sderot	8	3	2	3	14	10	11
9	Hapoel Azor	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
10	Ironi Beit Shemesh	8	3	2	3	16	17	11
11	MS Jerusalem	8	3	2	3	11	14	11
12	Maccabi Yavne	8	2	4	2	11	7	10
13	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	8	2	4	2	11	9	10
14	Hapoel Marmorek	8	2	3	3	10	9	9
15	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	8	1	3	4	8	15	6
16	Kfar Saba 1928	8	1	1	6	8	14	4
17	Tzeirey Tira	8	0	0	8	2	17	0
18	AS Nordia Jerusalem	8	0	0	8	3	25	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sport Club Dimona	Hapoel Herzliya
Maccabi Ironi Sderot	4-1 W	2-2 D
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	3-2 W	0-0 D
Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	1-5 L	0-0 D
Tzeirey Tira	1-0 W	1-0 W
Maccabi Yavne	1-0 W	0-0 D
AS Nordia Jerusalem	2-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 4 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sport Club Dimona (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sport Club Dimona

WWLWWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	2-0	10	4	W
09/10	Maccabi Ironi Sderot Israel Liga Alef South	2-1	4-1	7	6	W
30/09	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Israel Liga Alef South	2-0	3-2	5	10	W
23/09	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-5	6	7	L
17/09	Tzeirey Tira Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-0	7	7	W
09/09	Maccabi Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-0	5	8	W
03/09	AS Nordia Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	–	2-0	–	–	W
27/02	MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	1-1	1-4	4	6	L
19/02	Tzeirey Tira Israel Liga Alef South	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
13/02	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	2-1	4	6	W

Hapoel Herzliya

DLWWDWDDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/10	Hapoel Azor Israel Liga Alef South	1-2	1-5	5	7	L
19/10	Maccabi Ironi Sderot Israel Liga Alef South	–	2-2	0	0	D
08/10	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
30/09	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
23/09	Tzeirey Tira Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-0	4	7	W
18/09	Maccabi Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
09/09	AS Nordia Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	3-1	7	5	W
03/09	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Israel Liga Alef South	2-1	2-1	4	6	W
27/02	FC Beitar Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-1	0	8	L
20/02	Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-1	3	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sport Club Dimona vs Hapoel Herzliya?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sport Club Dimona win (53%). Probabilities: Sport Club Dimona 53%, draw 26%, Hapoel Herzliya 20%.

How many goals are expected in Sport Club Dimona vs Hapoel Herzliya?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Sport Club Dimona 1.6 · Hapoel Herzliya 0.89), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sport Club Dimona vs Hapoel Herzliya?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.