Football · Israel Liga Alef South · 02/11, 17:45

Prediction: Maccabi Yavne vs Shimshon Tel Aviv

Team pages: Maccabi Yavne · Shimshon Tel Aviv

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.75Total

Maccabi Yavne1.31

Shimshon Tel Aviv1.44

1X2

34% 27% 39%

Maccabi Yavne Draw Shimshon Tel Aviv

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Maccabi Yavne 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLDDWDLD

Shimshon Tel Aviv 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDWWLWWW

Head-to-head

Maccabi Yavne 2–1–3 Shimshon Tel Aviv (6 last)

Maccabi Yavne2-1Shimshon Tel Aviv
Shimshon Tel Aviv3-3Maccabi Yavne
Shimshon Tel Aviv0-3Maccabi Yavne
Maccabi Yavne1-2Shimshon Tel Aviv
Shimshon Tel Aviv1-0Maccabi Yavne
Maccabi Yavne0-1Shimshon Tel Aviv

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maccabi Yavne 1540 · Shimshon Tel Aviv 1556

	Maccabi Yavne	Draw	Shimshon Tel Aviv
Our model	33%	28%	39%
Market	34%	26%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.75 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Shimshon Tel Aviv: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Maccabi Yavne	Shimshon Tel Aviv
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1	2.1 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	1.2 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/33/44%	70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.3	2.7 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.4	4.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.40

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.75

2 (-0.25)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
09:02 +16’	2.63	3.40	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Yavne 2–1–3 Shimshon Tel Aviv

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/02/26 Israel Liga Alef South	Maccabi Yavne	2-1 HT 2-0	Shimshon Tel Aviv
10/10/25 Israel Liga Alef South	Shimshon Tel Aviv	3-3 HT 2-3	Maccabi Yavne
25/04/25 Israel Liga Alef South	Shimshon Tel Aviv	0-3	Maccabi Yavne
27/12/24 Israel Liga Alef South	Maccabi Yavne	1-2 HT 0-1	Shimshon Tel Aviv
29/02/24 Israel Liga Alef South	Shimshon Tel Aviv	1-0 HT 1-0	Maccabi Yavne
28/09/23 Israel Liga Alef South	Maccabi Yavne	0-1 HT 0-1	Shimshon Tel Aviv

Standings · Israel Liga Alef South · Liga Alef 26/27, South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sport Club Dimona	8	7	0	1	21	8	21
2	Shimshon Tel Aviv	8	6	1	1	17	6	19
3	Hapoel Holon Yaniv	8	5	1	2	14	6	16
4	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	8	4	3	1	15	7	15
5	Hapoel Hadera	9	4	3	2	12	7	15
6	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon	8	4	3	1	7	5	15
7	Maccabi Ironi Sderot	9	4	2	3	15	10	14
8	Hapoel Herzliya	9	3	4	2	9	16	13
9	Hapoel Marmorek	9	3	3	3	11	9	12
10	Hapoel Azor	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
11	Ironi Beit Shemesh	9	3	2	4	16	18	11
12	MS Jerusalem	8	3	2	3	11	14	11
13	Maccabi Yavne	8	2	4	2	11	7	10
14	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	8	2	4	2	11	9	10
15	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	9	2	3	4	11	17	9
16	Kfar Saba 1928	8	1	1	6	8	14	4
17	Tzeirey Tira	9	0	0	9	2	18	0
18	AS Nordia Jerusalem	8	0	0	8	3	25	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Maccabi Yavne	Shimshon Tel Aviv
Hapoel Marmorek	1-1 D	2-1 W
Hapoel Holon Yaniv	1-3 L	3-1 W
Hapoel Hadera	0-0 D	2-2 D
Ironi Beit Shemesh	5-1 W	2-0 W
Kfar Saba 1928	4-2 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Shimshon Tel Aviv (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maccabi Yavne

DWWLDDWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
19/10	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	1-1	1-3	5	9	L
09/10	Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
01/10	Ironi Beit Shemesh Israel Liga Alef South	3-0	5-1	5	6	W
24/09	MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	–	1-1	0	0	D
18/09	Hapoel Herzliya Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
09/09	Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	0-1	1	8	L
03/09	Hapoel Azor Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
27/02	Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	4-2	8	6	W
20/02	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	1-1	4	2	D

Shimshon Tel Aviv

DWWDWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	AS Nordia Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	3-0	8	5	W
18/10	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
09/10	Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South	3-0	3-0	9	1	W
30/09	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-2	1	7	L
23/09	Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	2-1	2	8	W
17/09	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	2-0	3-1	3	4	W
09/09	Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South	2-1	2-2	4	10	D
03/09	Ironi Beit Shemesh Israel Liga Alef South	2-0	2-0	8	3	W
26/02	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	4-2	2	2	W
19/02	Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	5	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maccabi Yavne vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shimshon Tel Aviv win (39%). Probabilities: Maccabi Yavne 34%, draw 27%, Shimshon Tel Aviv 39%.

How many goals are expected in Maccabi Yavne vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?

The model expects 2.75 goals (Maccabi Yavne 1.31 · Shimshon Tel Aviv 1.44), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Maccabi Yavne vs Shimshon Tel Aviv?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.