Football · Israel Liga Alef South · 02/11, 18:15

Prediction: Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi vs Hapoel Holon Yaniv

Team pages: Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi · Hapoel Holon Yaniv

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.35Total

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi1.28

Hapoel Holon Yaniv1.07

1X2

41% 29% 30%

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Draw Hapoel Holon Yaniv

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

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Hapoel Holon Yaniv 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi 1–2–3 Hapoel Holon Yaniv (6 last)

Hapoel Holon Yaniv0-0Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi1-0Hapoel Holon Yaniv
Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi1-1Hapoel Holon Yaniv
Hapoel Holon Yaniv2-1Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
Hapoel Holon Yaniv3-1Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi0-2Hapoel Holon Yaniv

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi 1572 · Hapoel Holon Yaniv 1536

	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	Draw	Hapoel Holon Yaniv
Our model	40%	30%	30%
Market	42%	27%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hapoel Holon Yaniv: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	Hapoel Holon Yaniv
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 0.7	1.5 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0	0.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.5	2.4 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.2	4.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.30

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 10:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
10:12 +12’	2.15	3.30	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi 1–2–3 Hapoel Holon Yaniv

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/02/26 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Holon Yaniv	0-0 HT 0-0	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
31/10/25 Israel Liga Alef South	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	1-0 HT 0-0	Hapoel Holon Yaniv
07/02/25 Israel Liga Alef South	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	1-1 HT 0-0	Hapoel Holon Yaniv
09/10/24 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Holon Yaniv	2-1 HT 1-1	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
14/04/24 Israel Liga Alef South	Hapoel Holon Yaniv	3-1 HT 0-1	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
26/01/24 Israel Liga Alef South	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	0-2 HT 0-1	Hapoel Holon Yaniv

Standings · Israel Liga Alef South · Liga Alef 26/27, South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sport Club Dimona	8	7	0	1	21	8	21
2	Shimshon Tel Aviv	8	6	1	1	17	6	19
3	Hapoel Holon Yaniv	8	5	1	2	14	6	16
4	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	8	4	3	1	15	7	15
5	Hapoel Hadera	9	4	3	2	12	7	15
6	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon	8	4	3	1	7	5	15
7	Maccabi Ironi Sderot	9	4	2	3	15	10	14
8	Hapoel Herzliya	9	3	4	2	9	16	13
9	Hapoel Marmorek	9	3	3	3	11	9	12
10	Hapoel Azor	7	3	2	2	10	8	11
11	Ironi Beit Shemesh	9	3	2	4	16	18	11
12	MS Jerusalem	8	3	2	3	11	14	11
13	Maccabi Yavne	8	2	4	2	11	7	10
14	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	8	2	4	2	11	9	10
15	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda	9	2	3	4	11	17	9
16	Kfar Saba 1928	8	1	1	6	8	14	4
17	Tzeirey Tira	9	0	0	9	2	18	0
18	AS Nordia Jerusalem	8	0	0	8	3	25	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-1	3	5	L
18/10	Ironi Beit Shemesh Israel Liga Alef South	3-0	3-3	3	6	D
09/10	MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
30/09	Hapoel Herzliya Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
23/09	Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	5-1	4	7	W
18/09	Hapoel Azor Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	3-0	8	2	W
09/09	Maccabi Ironi Sderot Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	2-1	4	5	W
03/09	Hapoel Mahane Yehuda Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-1	7	2	D
27/02	Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
20/02	FC Beitar Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-0	1	7	W

Hapoel Holon Yaniv

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Tzeirey Tira Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	3-0	1	8	W
19/10	Maccabi Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	1-1	3-1	15	9	W
08/10	AS Nordia Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	5-0	9	3	W
30/09	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Israel Liga Alef South	0-1	0-2	4	6	L
24/09	Kfar Saba 1928 Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	1-0	7	3	W
17/09	Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South	0-2	1-3	6	4	L
09/09	Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-0	2	6	W
04/09	Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
27/02	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Israel Liga Alef South	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
20/02	Maccabi Yavne Israel Liga Alef South	1-0	1-1	4	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi vs Hapoel Holon Yaniv?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi win (41%). Probabilities: Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi 41%, draw 29%, Hapoel Holon Yaniv 30%.

How many goals are expected in Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi vs Hapoel Holon Yaniv?

The model expects 2.35 goals (Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi 1.28 · Hapoel Holon Yaniv 1.07), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi vs Hapoel Holon Yaniv?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.