Football · Israel Liga Alef South · 02/11, 17:30
Prediction: AS Nordia Jerusalem vs Kfar Saba 1928
Team pages: AS Nordia Jerusalem · Kfar Saba 1928
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
AS Nordia Jerusalem0.93
Kfar Saba 19281.94
1X2
AS Nordia Jerusalem
Draw
Kfar Saba 1928
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
AS Nordia Jerusalem
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Kfar Saba 1928
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
AS Nordia Jerusalem
0–2
Kfar Saba 1928
(2 last)
- Kfar Saba 19282-1AS Nordia Jerusalem
- AS Nordia Jerusalem0-1Kfar Saba 1928
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AS Nordia Jerusalem 1356 · Kfar Saba 1928 1451
| AS Nordia Jerusalem | Draw | Kfar Saba 1928 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 24% | 60% |
| Market | 17% | 22% | 61% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.87 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kfar Saba 1928 (rating 1356 vs 1451).
- H2H favours Kfar Saba 1928: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AS Nordia Jerusalem | Kfar Saba 1928 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 2.9 | 1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/33/56% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.3 | 1.2 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.2 | 4.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · AS Nordia Jerusalem 0–0–2 Kfar Saba 1928
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Israel Liga Alef South | Kfar Saba 1928 | 2-1 HT 1-1 | AS Nordia Jerusalem |
| 19/09/25 Israel Liga Alef South | AS Nordia Jerusalem | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Kfar Saba 1928 |
Standings · Israel Liga Alef South · Liga Alef 26/27, South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sport Club Dimona | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Shimshon Tel Aviv | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Hapoel Hadera | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 15 |
| 7 | Maccabi Ironi Sderot | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 14 |
| 8 | Hapoel Herzliya | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 13 |
| 9 | Hapoel Marmorek | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Hapoel Azor | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Ironi Beit Shemesh | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 11 |
| 12 | MS Jerusalem | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 11 |
| 13 | Maccabi Yavne | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 10 |
| 14 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 10 |
| 15 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 9 |
| 16 | Kfar Saba 1928 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 4 |
| 17 | Tzeirey Tira | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 | AS Nordia Jerusalem | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AS Nordia Jerusalem | Kfar Saba 1928 |
|---|---|---|
| Shimshon Tel Aviv | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Hapoel Marmorek | 1-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Hapoel Holon Yaniv | 0-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Hapoel Hadera | 0-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Ironi Beit Shemesh | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| MS Jerusalem | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 6 L | 1 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Kfar Saba 1928 (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AS Nordia Jerusalem
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 19/10 | Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 08/10 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 0-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/09 | Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 0-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 23/09 | Ironi Beit Shemesh Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 9 | L |
| 18/09 | MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 09/09 | Hapoel Herzliya Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/09 | Sport Club Dimona Israel Liga Alef South |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 26/02 | Hapoel Azor Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 20/02 | MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
Kfar Saba 1928
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 19/10 | Hapoel Nir Ramat Hasharon Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 09/10 | Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South |
0-3 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 01/10 | Hapoel Marmorek Israel Liga Alef South |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 24/09 | Hapoel Holon Yaniv Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 17/09 | Hapoel Hadera Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 09/09 | Ironi Beit Shemesh Israel Liga Alef South |
2-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 04/09 | MS Jerusalem Israel Liga Alef South |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 27/02 | Maccabi Yavne Israel Liga Alef South |
1-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 19/02 | Shimshon Tel Aviv Israel Liga Alef South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AS Nordia Jerusalem vs Kfar Saba 1928?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Kfar Saba 1928 win (61%). Probabilities: AS Nordia Jerusalem 17%, draw 23%, Kfar Saba 1928 61%.
How many goals are expected in AS Nordia Jerusalem vs Kfar Saba 1928?
The model expects 2.87 goals (AS Nordia Jerusalem 0.93 · Kfar Saba 1928 1.94), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in AS Nordia Jerusalem vs Kfar Saba 1928?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.