Football · Israel Liga Alef North · 30/10, 11:25

Prediction: Hapoel Beit Shean vs Sport Club Tira

Team pages: Hapoel Beit Shean · Sport Club Tira

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.7Total

Hapoel Beit Shean1.27

Sport Club Tira1.43

1X2

32% 28% 40%

Hapoel Beit Shean Draw Sport Club Tira

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Hapoel Beit Shean 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLWWDDWL

Sport Club Tira 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

DDWWDDWWWW

Head-to-head

Hapoel Beit Shean 0–1–3 Sport Club Tira (4 last)

Hapoel Beit Shean2-3Sport Club Tira
Hapoel Beit Shean0-0Sport Club Tira
Sport Club Tira3-2Hapoel Beit Shean
Hapoel Beit Shean1-3Sport Club Tira

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hapoel Beit Shean 1528 · Sport Club Tira 1568

	Hapoel Beit Shean	Draw	Sport Club Tira
Our model	32%	28%	40%
Market	33%	28%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.7 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sport Club Tira (rating 1528 vs 1568).
H2H favours Sport Club Tira: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hapoel Beit Shean	Sport Club Tira
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.8	1.5 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.8 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	56/33/11%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.9	1.7 / 2.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.3	5.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.75

X3.25

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.95

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
00:54 +14’	2.75	3.25	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Beit Shean 0–1–3 Sport Club Tira

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Date	Home	Score	Away
30/08/26 Israel Cup	Hapoel Beit Shean	2-3 HT 2-0	Sport Club Tira
26/02/26 Israel Liga Alef North	Hapoel Beit Shean	0-0 HT 0-0	Sport Club Tira
30/10/25 Israel Liga Alef North	Sport Club Tira	3-2 HT 0-2	Hapoel Beit Shean
21/01/25 Israel Liga Alef North	Hapoel Beit Shean	1-3 HT 1-1	Sport Club Tira

Standings · Israel Liga Alef North · Liga Alef 26/27, North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sport Club Tira	8	6	2	0	15	5	20
2	Ironi Nesher	7	5	1	1	20	6	16
3	Beitar Nahariya	8	5	1	2	14	8	16
4	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq	8	4	3	1	15	11	15
5	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	8	3	5	0	13	7	14
6	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	7	3	3	1	12	7	12
7	Hapoel Beit Shean	7	3	2	2	11	6	11
8	Hapoel Nof HaGalil	7	3	2	2	12	13	11
9	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	8	3	1	4	16	16	10
10	Hapoel Bnei Jat United	8	2	3	3	12	14	9
11	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	7	2	2	3	11	11	8
12	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye	8	2	2	4	12	13	8
13	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	8	2	1	5	10	14	7
14	FC Tzeirey Tamra	7	2	0	5	8	18	6
15	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	7	1	2	4	6	12	5
16	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	8	1	2	5	5	20	5
17	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	7	1	0	6	5	16	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hapoel Beit Shean	Sport Club Tira
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	1-1 D	0-0 D
Hapoel Tirat Karmel	4-0 W	2-0 W
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	3-2 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Hapoel Beit Shean (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hapoel Beit Shean

WWDLWWDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North	1-1	1-2	2	5	L
23/10	Beitar Nahariya Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	2-0	0	3	W
19/10	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North	–	1-1	–	–	D
16/10	Hapoel Nof HaGalil Israel Liga Alef North	1-1	1-1	5	4	D
12/10	Hapoel Tirat Karmel Israel Liga Alef North	3-0	4-0	4	5	W
30/09	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
23/09	FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North	–	0-1	–	–	L
26/02	Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
19/02	Hapoel Tirat Karmel Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	1-0	9	3	W
12/02	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	2-1	3-2	5	3	W

Sport Club Tira

DDWWDDWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/10	Hapoel Tirat Karmel Israel Liga Alef North	2-0	2-0	1	5	W
18/10	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
08/10	Ironi Nesher Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	2-1	5	9	W
30/09	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad Israel Liga Alef North	2-1	3-2	7	3	W
23/09	Hapoel Bnei Musmus Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	1-1	1	6	D
18/09	Hapoel Bnei Jat United Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	1-1	0	7	D
10/09	Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North	–	4-0	–	–	W
04/09	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-0	0	5	W
26/02	Hapoel Beit Shean Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
19/02	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	2	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hapoel Beit Shean vs Sport Club Tira?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sport Club Tira win (40%). Probabilities: Hapoel Beit Shean 32%, draw 28%, Sport Club Tira 40%.

How many goals are expected in Hapoel Beit Shean vs Sport Club Tira?

The model expects 2.7 goals (Hapoel Beit Shean 1.27 · Sport Club Tira 1.43), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Beit Shean vs Sport Club Tira?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.