Prediction: Man City vs Sunderland
Team pages: Man City · Sunderland
- Sunderland0-0Man City
- Man City3-0Sunderland
- Sunderland0-2Man City
- Man City2-1Sunderland
- Sunderland0-1Man City
- Man City4-1Sunderland
| Man City | Draw | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 20% | 9% |
| Market | 71% | 18% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Man City (rating 1627 vs 1528).
- H2H favours Man City: 5-1-0.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Man City | Sunderland | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.9 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.6 / 8 | 2.7 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Man City 5–1–0 Sunderland
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/26 England Premier League | Sunderland | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Man City |
| 06/12/25 England Premier League | Man City | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Sunderland |
| 05/03/17 England Premier League | Sunderland | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Man City |
| 13/08/16 England Premier League | Man City | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Sunderland |
| 02/02/16 England Premier League | Sunderland | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Man City |
| 26/12/15 England Premier League | Man City | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Sunderland |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Man City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
| 3 | Hull | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Brighton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 7 |
| 6 | Brentford | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 8 | Everton | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Ipswich | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 10 | Newcastle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | Leeds | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Nottm Forest | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 13 | Man Utd | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 4 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| 18 | Fulham | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 19 | Aston Villa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 20 | Coventry | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Man City | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa | 1-2 L | 3-4 L |
| Brentford | 3-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Everton | 3-3 D | 3-1 W |
| Arsenal | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Man City (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Man City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Coventry England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Bournemouth England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 19/05 | Bournemouth England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 13/05 | Crystal Palace England Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 04/05 | Everton England Premier League |
1-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 22/04 | Burnley England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 0 | W |
| 19/04 | Arsenal England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
Sunderland
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Arsenal England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 05/09 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Fulham England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Ipswich England Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Chelsea England Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 17/05 | Everton England Premier League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Man Utd England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Wolverhampton England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 24/04 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
0-4 | 0-5 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Man City vs Sunderland?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Man City win (71%). Probabilities: Man City 71%, draw 19%, Sunderland 10%.
How many goals are expected in Man City vs Sunderland?
The model expects 2.76 goals (Man City 2.11 · Sunderland 0.65), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Man City vs Sunderland?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.