Prediction: Tottenham vs Aston Villa
Team pages: Tottenham · Aston Villa
- Aston Villa1-2Tottenham
- Tottenham1-2Aston Villa
- Tottenham1-2Aston Villa
- Aston Villa2-0Tottenham
- Aston Villa2-1Tottenham
- Tottenham4-1Aston Villa
| Tottenham | Draw | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 26% | 26% |
| Market | 48% | 27% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Aston Villa: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tottenham | Aston Villa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6.9 | 2.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tottenham 2–0–4 Aston Villa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 England Premier League | Aston Villa | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Tottenham |
| 10/01/26 England FA Cup | Tottenham | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Aston Villa |
| 19/10/25 England Premier League | Tottenham | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Aston Villa |
| 16/05/25 England Premier League | Aston Villa | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Tottenham |
| 09/02/25 England FA Cup | Aston Villa | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Tottenham |
| 03/11/24 England Premier League | Tottenham | 4-1 HT 0-1 | Aston Villa |
Standings · England Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 12 |
| 2 | Man City | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Hull | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 7 |
| 5 | Brentford | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Everton | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 8 | Ipswich | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| 10 | Leeds | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 11 | Nottm Forest | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | Brighton | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Man Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 |
| 18 | Fulham | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 19 | Aston Villa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 1 |
| 20 | Coventry | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tottenham | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Nottm Forest | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Brighton | 2-2 D | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 0 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Tottenham (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tottenham
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Everton England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 05/09 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 29/08 | Newcastle England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Brentford England Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Everton England Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 19/05 | Chelsea England Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 11/05 | Leeds England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 14 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Aston Villa England Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Wolverhampton England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | Brighton England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
Aston Villa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Nottm Forest England Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Hull England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 31/08 | Arsenal England Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | Brighton England Premier League |
0-4 | 0-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Man City England Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | Liverpool England Premier League |
1-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Burnley England Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Tottenham England Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Fulham England Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Sunderland England Premier League |
2-1 | 4-3 | 4 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tottenham vs Aston Villa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Tottenham win (48%). Probabilities: Tottenham 48%, draw 26%, Aston Villa 25%.
How many goals are expected in Tottenham vs Aston Villa?
The model expects 2.92 goals (Tottenham 1.72 · Aston Villa 1.2), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Tottenham vs Aston Villa?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.