Football · Georgia Erovnuli Liga · 05/09, 16:00

Prediction: Meshakhte Tkibuli vs FC Spaeri

Team pages: Meshakhte Tkibuli · FC Spaeri

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.57Total

Meshakhte Tkibuli1.12

FC Spaeri1.45

1X2

28% 27% 44%

Meshakhte Tkibuli Draw FC Spaeri

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Meshakhte Tkibuli 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

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FC Spaeri 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Meshakhte Tkibuli 0–4–2 FC Spaeri (6 last)

FC Spaeri2-1Meshakhte Tkibuli
Meshakhte Tkibuli0-0FC Spaeri
Meshakhte Tkibuli0-0FC Spaeri
FC Spaeri1-0Meshakhte Tkibuli
Meshakhte Tkibuli0-0FC Spaeri
FC Spaeri1-1Meshakhte Tkibuli

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Meshakhte Tkibuli 1441 · FC Spaeri 1460

	Meshakhte Tkibuli	Draw	FC Spaeri
Our model	28%	29%	44%
Market	29%	26%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.57 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Spaeri: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Meshakhte Tkibuli	FC Spaeri
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.2	1.3 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3	2.6 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.40

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:54

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:52 +2’	3.10	3.40	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Meshakhte Tkibuli 0–4–2 FC Spaeri

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/05/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Spaeri	2-1 HT 1-0	Meshakhte Tkibuli
07/04/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Meshakhte Tkibuli	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Spaeri
26/10/25 Georgia First League	Meshakhte Tkibuli	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Spaeri
30/08/25 Georgia First League	FC Spaeri	1-0 HT 0-0	Meshakhte Tkibuli
15/05/25 Georgia First League	Meshakhte Tkibuli	0-0 HT 0-0	FC Spaeri
29/03/25 Georgia First League	FC Spaeri	1-1 HT 0-0	Meshakhte Tkibuli

Standings · Georgia Erovnuli Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Rustavi	23	12	6	5	30	19	42
2	Dinamo Tbilisi	22	10	7	5	35	26	37
3	Dinamo Batumi	23	10	7	6	38	32	37
4	FC Iberia 1999	21	10	4	7	30	24	34
5	Samgurali	23	9	5	9	32	41	32
6	Torpedo Kutaisi	23	8	7	8	36	27	31
7	Dila Gori	22	9	3	10	27	24	30
8	FC Gagra	23	6	9	8	23	30	27
9	FC Spaeri	23	5	8	10	30	35	23
10	Meshakhte Tkibuli	23	2	8	13	17	40	14

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Meshakhte Tkibuli	FC Spaeri
Torpedo Kutaisi	2-0 W	0-0 D
Dinamo Batumi	0-1 L	0-3 L
Dila Gori	1-3 L	1-3 L
Samgurali	1-2 L	3-4 L
FC Iberia 1999	1-2 L	1-1 D
FC Gagra	1-1 D	1-1 D
FC Rustavi	0-1 L	1-2 L
Dinamo Tbilisi	1-6 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 6 L	0 W 3 D 5 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Meshakhte Tkibuli

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/08	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	2-0	3	4	W
21/08	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	0-1	1	3	L
16/08	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-2	1-3	3	5	L
09/08	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-1	1-2	2	4	L
23/06	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-2	2	5	L
18/06	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
13/06	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-1	3	0	L
30/05	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-3	1-6	6	6	L
25/05	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	1-2	3	6	L
20/05	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-4	3	4	L

FC Spaeri

DWLDLDLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-3	0-3	4	5	L
22/08	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	3-1	3-4	7	4	L
17/08	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
09/08	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	1-2	6	1	L
22/06	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
16/06	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-1	1-3	4	4	L
12/06	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	1-1	9	2	D
29/05	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	1-2	5	5	L
25/05	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	2-1	7	6	W
21/05	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-2	3-3	8	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Meshakhte Tkibuli vs FC Spaeri?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Spaeri win (44%). Probabilities: Meshakhte Tkibuli 28%, draw 27%, FC Spaeri 44%.

How many goals are expected in Meshakhte Tkibuli vs FC Spaeri?

The model expects 2.57 goals (Meshakhte Tkibuli 1.12 · FC Spaeri 1.45), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Meshakhte Tkibuli vs FC Spaeri?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.