Football · Georgia Erovnuli Liga · 13/09, 16:00

Prediction: Dila Gori vs Dinamo Batumi

Team pages: Dila Gori · Dinamo Batumi

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

Dila Gori1.38

Dinamo Batumi1.38

1X2

36% 28% 36%

Dila Gori Draw Dinamo Batumi

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Dila Gori 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWDLWW

Dinamo Batumi 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLDWWWWW

Head-to-head

Dila Gori 4–1–1 Dinamo Batumi (6 last)

Dinamo Batumi3-2Dila Gori
Dila Gori1-0Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Batumi1-2Dila Gori
Dila Gori2-0Dinamo Batumi
Dinamo Batumi0-3Dila Gori
Dila Gori1-1Dinamo Batumi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dila Gori 1542 · Dinamo Batumi 1567

	Dila Gori	Draw	Dinamo Batumi
Our model	36%	28%	36%
Market	36%	27%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Dila Gori: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dila Gori	Dinamo Batumi
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.5	2 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	1.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.8	2.8 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.45

X3.25

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
18:52 +8’	2.45	3.25	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dila Gori 4–1–1 Dinamo Batumi

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/06/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dinamo Batumi	3-2 HT 2-1	Dila Gori
22/04/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dila Gori	1-0 HT 1-0	Dinamo Batumi
21/11/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dinamo Batumi	1-2 HT 1-0	Dila Gori
14/09/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dila Gori	2-0 HT 0-0	Dinamo Batumi
16/05/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dinamo Batumi	0-3 HT 0-1	Dila Gori
05/04/25 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	Dila Gori	1-1 HT 0-1	Dinamo Batumi

Standings · Georgia Erovnuli Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Rustavi	25	12	7	6	31	21	43
2	Dinamo Batumi	25	12	7	6	41	32	43
3	Dinamo Tbilisi	24	10	9	5	36	27	39
4	FC Iberia 1999	23	11	4	8	32	27	37
5	Dila Gori	24	11	3	10	31	25	36
6	Torpedo Kutaisi	25	8	9	8	38	29	33
7	Samgurali	25	9	5	11	34	46	32
8	FC Gagra	25	6	10	9	24	32	28
9	FC Spaeri	25	5	10	10	33	38	25
10	Meshakhte Tkibuli	25	2	10	13	19	42	16

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dila Gori	Dinamo Batumi
Samgurali	3-1 W	4-0 W
FC Gagra	1-0 W	2-2 D
Dinamo Tbilisi	1-2 L	1-2 L
Torpedo Kutaisi	2-2 D	3-2 W
Meshakhte Tkibuli	3-1 W	1-0 W
FC Rustavi	3-0 W	1-0 W
FC Spaeri	3-1 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dila Gori

LLLWWWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-0	3-1	4	3	W
05/09	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
31/08	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	1-2	6	4	L
22/08	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	2-2	2	4	D
16/08	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-1	3-1	7	5	W
22/06	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	3-0	5	5	W
16/06	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
12/06	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-2	2-3	5	2	L
29/05	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-1	2-3	6	3	L
24/05	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-2	3	4	L

Dinamo Batumi

LWWLDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	2-0	7	6	W
04/09	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-0	3	8	W
30/08	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	3-0	3-0	3	5	W
21/08	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
16/08	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	3-0	4-0	5	4	W
08/08	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-0	2-2	6	1	D
23/06	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	1-2	5	3	L
17/06	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-1	3-2	3	3	W
12/06	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	2-1	3-2	4	2	W
29/05	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	0-1	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dila Gori vs Dinamo Batumi?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dila Gori win (36%). Probabilities: Dila Gori 36%, draw 28%, Dinamo Batumi 36%.

How many goals are expected in Dila Gori vs Dinamo Batumi?

The model expects 2.76 goals (Dila Gori 1.38 · Dinamo Batumi 1.38), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Dila Gori vs Dinamo Batumi?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.