Football · Georgia Erovnuli Liga · 13/09, 18:00

Prediction: FC Iberia 1999 vs FC Spaeri

Team pages: FC Iberia 1999 · FC Spaeri

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

FC Iberia 19991.73

FC Spaeri1

1X2

54% 25% 21%

FC Iberia 1999 Draw FC Spaeri

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Iberia 1999 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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FC Spaeri 0-5-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Iberia 1999 2–1–0 FC Spaeri (3 last)

FC Iberia 19991-1FC Spaeri
FC Spaeri0-2FC Iberia 1999
FC Spaeri0-1FC Iberia 1999

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Iberia 1999 1456 · FC Spaeri 1445

	FC Iberia 1999	Draw	FC Spaeri
Our model	53%	26%	21%
Market	54%	24%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Iberia 1999: 2-1-0.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Iberia 1999	FC Spaeri
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.6	1.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.7	0.7 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.9	2.6 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.70

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Bet365 1.67
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.69 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
19:18 +19’	1.67	3.70	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:13 +33’	1.65	3.68	4.69

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Iberia 1999 2–1–0 FC Spaeri

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/06/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Iberia 1999	1-1 HT 1-0	FC Spaeri
22/04/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	FC Spaeri	0-2 HT 0-2	FC Iberia 1999
20/04/21 Georgia Cup	FC Spaeri	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Iberia 1999

Standings · Georgia Erovnuli Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Rustavi	25	12	7	6	31	21	43
2	Dinamo Batumi	25	12	7	6	41	32	43
3	Dinamo Tbilisi	24	10	9	5	36	27	39
4	FC Iberia 1999	23	11	4	8	32	27	37
5	Dila Gori	24	11	3	10	31	25	36
6	Torpedo Kutaisi	25	8	9	8	38	29	33
7	Samgurali	25	9	5	11	34	46	32
8	FC Gagra	25	6	10	9	24	32	28
9	FC Spaeri	25	5	10	10	33	38	25
10	Meshakhte Tkibuli	25	2	10	13	19	42	16

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Iberia 1999	FC Spaeri
Dinamo Batumi	0-2 L	0-3 L
Samgurali	2-1 W	3-4 L
FC Gagra	0-2 L	1-1 D
Torpedo Kutaisi	3-4 L	0-0 D
Meshakhte Tkibuli	2-1 W	2-2 D
FC Rustavi	1-2 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	0 W 4 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Iberia 1999

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
05/09	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-1	2-1	8	6	W
31/08	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	0-2	11	2	L
15/08	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-3	3-4	11	4	L
23/06	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
17/06	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	1-2	6	4	L
12/06	FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
29/05	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
25/05	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-2	2-3	5	9	L
20/05	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-0	4	7	W

FC Spaeri

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-1	1-1	6	6	D
05/09	Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-2	2-2	7	3	D
30/08	Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-3	0-3	4	5	L
22/08	Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga	3-1	3-4	7	4	L
17/08	FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
09/08	Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-0	1-2	6	1	L
22/06	Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-0	0-0	7	3	D
16/06	Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga	1-1	1-3	4	4	L
12/06	FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	1-1	9	2	D
29/05	FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga	0-1	1-2	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Iberia 1999 vs FC Spaeri?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Iberia 1999 win (54%). Probabilities: FC Iberia 1999 54%, draw 25%, FC Spaeri 21%.

How many goals are expected in FC Iberia 1999 vs FC Spaeri?

The model expects 2.72 goals (FC Iberia 1999 1.73 · FC Spaeri 1), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Iberia 1999 vs FC Spaeri?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.