Football · Georgia Erovnuli Liga · 14/09, 14:00
Prediction: Meshakhte Tkibuli vs FC Rustavi
Team pages: Meshakhte Tkibuli · FC Rustavi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Meshakhte Tkibuli0.73
FC Rustavi1.52
1X2
Meshakhte Tkibuli
Draw
FC Rustavi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
FC Rustavi
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1–2–3
FC Rustavi
(6 last)
- FC Rustavi1-0Meshakhte Tkibuli
- Meshakhte Tkibuli0-0FC Rustavi
- FC Rustavi1-2Meshakhte Tkibuli
- Meshakhte Tkibuli1-3FC Rustavi
- FC Rustavi1-0Meshakhte Tkibuli
- Meshakhte Tkibuli0-0FC Rustavi
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Meshakhte Tkibuli 1460 · FC Rustavi 1557
| Meshakhte Tkibuli | Draw | FC Rustavi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 28% | 55% |
| Market | 19% | 24% | 57% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Rustavi (rating 1460 vs 1557).
- H2H favours FC Rustavi: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Meshakhte Tkibuli | FC Rustavi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3 | 2.4 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 4.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Meshakhte Tkibuli 1–2–3 FC Rustavi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | FC Rustavi | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Meshakhte Tkibuli |
| 22/04/26 Georgia Erovnuli Liga | Meshakhte Tkibuli | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Rustavi |
| 06/12/25 Georgia First League | FC Rustavi | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Meshakhte Tkibuli |
| 05/10/25 Georgia First League | Meshakhte Tkibuli | 1-3 HT 0-1 | FC Rustavi |
| 11/08/25 Georgia First League | FC Rustavi | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Meshakhte Tkibuli |
| 28/04/25 Georgia First League | Meshakhte Tkibuli | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Rustavi |
Standings · Georgia Erovnuli Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Rustavi | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 21 | 43 |
| 2 | Dinamo Batumi | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 43 |
| 3 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 36 | 27 | 39 |
| 4 | FC Iberia 1999 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 27 | 37 |
| 5 | Dila Gori | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 25 | 36 |
| 6 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 33 |
| 7 | Samgurali | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 34 | 46 | 32 |
| 8 | FC Gagra | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 28 |
| 9 | FC Spaeri | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 38 | 25 |
| 10 | Meshakhte Tkibuli | 25 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 19 | 42 | 16 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Meshakhte Tkibuli | FC Rustavi |
|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| FC Spaeri | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Torpedo Kutaisi | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Dinamo Batumi | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Dila Gori | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Samgurali | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| FC Iberia 1999 | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| FC Gagra | 1-1 D | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 4 L | 4 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Rustavi (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Meshakhte Tkibuli
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 05/09 | FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 31/08 | Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/06 | FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 18/06 | FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 13/06 | FC Rustavi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-3 | 1-6 | 6 | 6 | L |
FC Rustavi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 04/09 | Dinamo Batumi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 30/08 | Samgurali Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 22/08 | FC Gagra Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/08 | Dinamo Tbilisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | Torpedo Kutaisi Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/06 | Dila Gori Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 17/06 | FC Iberia 1999 Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Meshakhte Tkibuli Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 29/05 | FC Spaeri Georgia Erovnuli Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Meshakhte Tkibuli vs FC Rustavi?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Rustavi win (56%). Probabilities: Meshakhte Tkibuli 18%, draw 26%, FC Rustavi 56%.
How many goals are expected in Meshakhte Tkibuli vs FC Rustavi?
The model expects 2.25 goals (Meshakhte Tkibuli 0.73 · FC Rustavi 1.52), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Meshakhte Tkibuli vs FC Rustavi?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.