Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 15/10, 02:00

Prediction: Managua FC vs San Marcos FC

Team pages: Managua FC · San Marcos FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.36Total
Managua FC2.62
San Marcos FC0.74
1X2
77% 15% 8%
Managua FC Draw San Marcos FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Managua FC 8-2-0 (W-D-L)
WWWWWDWDWW
San Marcos FC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
DLLLWWLWLL
Head-to-head
Managua FC 1–0 San Marcos FC (1 last)
  • San Marcos FC1-4Managua FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Managua FC 1609 · San Marcos FC 1452
Managua FCDrawSan Marcos FC
Our model77%16%8%
Market78%14%8%
Estimated total (ours) 3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Managua FC (rating 1609 vs 1452).
  • Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Managua FCSan Marcos FC
Goals for / against (FT)3.2 / 0.90.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)1.5 / 0.50.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/40/10%10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)3.6 / 5.61.7 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.9 / 0.34.1 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Managua FC 1–0–0 San Marcos FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/08/26
Nicaragua Apertura
San Marcos FC1-4
HT 1-1
Managua FC

Standings · Nicaragua Apertura

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Managua FC 11920 341029
2 Diriangen 11731 221224
3 Real Esteli 11632 21821
4 UNAN Managua 11632 13821
5 HYH Export Sebaco FC 10424 111714
6 CD Walter Ferretti 11326 182011
7 San Marcos FC 11326 101611
8 Matagalpa FC 10307 5209
9 Rancho Santana FC 11137 9216
10 Jalapa 11128 6175

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentManagua FCSan Marcos FC
Jalapa 1-0 W 3-1 W
Rancho Santana FC 6-1 W 2-1 W
Real Esteli 1-1 D 0-2 L
CD Walter Ferretti 3-2 W 1-0 W
Diriangen 3-3 D 1-2 L
UNAN Managua 2-0 W 0-1 L
HYH Export Sebaco FC 6-1 W 0-2 L
Matagalpa FC 3-0 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 6 W 2 D 0 L 3 W 0 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Managua FC (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Managua FC

WWWWWDWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
11/10 Jalapa
Nicaragua Apertura
0-0 1-0 00 W
03/10 Rancho Santana FC
Nicaragua Apertura
1-0 6-1 56 W
11/09 Real Esteli
Nicaragua Apertura
0-0 1-1 57 D
07/09 CD Walter Ferretti
Nicaragua Apertura
1-2 3-2 57 W
04/09 Diriangen
Nicaragua Apertura
2-2 3-3 89 D
31/08 UNAN Managua
Nicaragua Apertura
1-0 2-0 104 W
23/08 HYH Export Sebaco FC
Nicaragua Apertura
5-0 6-1 14 W
10/08 Matagalpa FC
Nicaragua Apertura
2-0 3-0 93 W
01/08 San Marcos FC
Nicaragua Apertura
1-1 4-1 64 W
26/07 Jalapa
Nicaragua Apertura
2-0 3-0 78 W

San Marcos FC

DLLLWWLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
12/10 HYH Export Sebaco FC
Nicaragua Apertura
0-0 0-2 25 L
07/10 Diriangen
Nicaragua Apertura
0-0 1-2 62 L
06/09 Jalapa
Nicaragua Apertura
1-1 3-1 64 W
03/09 Real Esteli
Nicaragua Apertura
0-2 0-2 46 L
31/08 CD Walter Ferretti
Nicaragua Apertura
0-0 1-0 64 W
24/08 Rancho Santana FC
Nicaragua Apertura
1-0 2-1 25 W
16/08 Matagalpa FC
Nicaragua Apertura
0-1 0-1 –– L
10/08 UNAN Managua
Nicaragua Apertura
0-1 0-1 65 L
01/08 Managua FC
Nicaragua Apertura
1-1 1-4 34 L
25/07 HYH Export Sebaco FC
Nicaragua Apertura
1-1 1-1 26 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Managua FC vs San Marcos FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Managua FC win (77%). Probabilities: Managua FC 77%, draw 15%, San Marcos FC 8%.

How many goals are expected in Managua FC vs San Marcos FC?

The model expects 3.36 goals (Managua FC 2.62 · San Marcos FC 0.74), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Managua FC vs San Marcos FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.