Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 18/10, 23:00
Prediction: HYH Export Sebaco FC vs Jalapa
Team pages: HYH Export Sebaco FC · Jalapa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
HYH Export Sebaco FC1.38
Jalapa0.87
1X2
HYH Export Sebaco FC
Draw
Jalapa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
HYH Export Sebaco FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Jalapa
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
HYH Export Sebaco FC
1–3–2
Jalapa
(6 last)
- Jalapa0-1HYH Export Sebaco FC
- Jalapa1-0HYH Export Sebaco FC
- HYH Export Sebaco FC0-0Jalapa
- HYH Export Sebaco FC2-2Jalapa
- Jalapa1-0HYH Export Sebaco FC
- HYH Export Sebaco FC0-0Jalapa
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · HYH Export Sebaco FC 1482 · Jalapa 1431
| HYH Export Sebaco FC | Draw | Jalapa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 30% | 22% |
| Market | 50% | 25% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HYH Export Sebaco FC (rating 1482 vs 1431).
- H2H favours Jalapa: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HYH Export Sebaco FC | Jalapa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.7 | 0.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.3 | 2.5 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.5 | 3.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HYH Export Sebaco FC 1–3–2 Jalapa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 Nicaragua Apertura | Jalapa | 0-1 HT 0-0 | HYH Export Sebaco FC |
| 08/03/26 Nicaragua Clausura | Jalapa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | HYH Export Sebaco FC |
| 06/02/26 Nicaragua Clausura | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Jalapa |
| 15/10/25 Nicaragua Apertura | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Jalapa |
| 02/08/25 Nicaragua Apertura | Jalapa | 1-0 HT 0-0 | HYH Export Sebaco FC |
| 15/04/25 Nicaragua Clausura | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Jalapa |
Standings · Nicaragua Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Managua FC | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 41 | 13 | 35 |
| 2 | Diriangen | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | UNAN Managua | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Real Esteli | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 17 |
| 6 | CD Walter Ferretti | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 14 |
| 7 | San Marcos FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 11 |
| 8 | Matagalpa FC | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 29 | 9 |
| 9 | Jalapa | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 6 |
| 10 | Rancho Santana FC | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HYH Export Sebaco FC | Jalapa |
|---|---|---|
| Rancho Santana FC | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| San Marcos FC | 2-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Diriangen | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| UNAN Managua | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| CD Walter Ferretti | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Real Esteli | 0-5 L | 1-1 D |
| Managua FC | 1-6 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 0 W 3 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HYH Export Sebaco FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/10 | San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/09 | Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 06/09 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 02/09 | CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura |
0-5 | 1-6 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 11 | W |
| 02/08 | Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
Jalapa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 11/10 | Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 04/10 | CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 03/09 | Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 30/08 | Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 17/08 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 11 | L |
| 31/07 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HYH Export Sebaco FC vs Jalapa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a HYH Export Sebaco FC win (49%). Probabilities: HYH Export Sebaco FC 49%, draw 27%, Jalapa 24%.
How many goals are expected in HYH Export Sebaco FC vs Jalapa?
The model expects 2.25 goals (HYH Export Sebaco FC 1.38 · Jalapa 0.87), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in HYH Export Sebaco FC vs Jalapa?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.