Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 10/09, 23:00
Prediction: HYH Export Sebaco FC vs Diriangen
Team pages: HYH Export Sebaco FC · Diriangen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
HYH Export Sebaco FC1.07
Diriangen1.97
1X2
HYH Export Sebaco FC
Draw
Diriangen
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
HYH Export Sebaco FC
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Diriangen
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
HYH Export Sebaco FC
2–1–3
Diriangen
(6 last)
- HYH Export Sebaco FC1-1Diriangen
- Diriangen1-2HYH Export Sebaco FC
- HYH Export Sebaco FC0-2Diriangen
- Diriangen0-1HYH Export Sebaco FC
- Diriangen5-0HYH Export Sebaco FC
- HYH Export Sebaco FC0-1Diriangen
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · HYH Export Sebaco FC 1473 · Diriangen 1558
| HYH Export Sebaco FC | Draw | Diriangen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 19% | 24% | 57% |
| Market | 19% | 24% | 57% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diriangen (rating 1473 vs 1558).
- H2H favours Diriangen: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 12.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| HYH Export Sebaco FC | Diriangen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2 | 1.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 60/40/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.4 | 2.1 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.5 | 6.8 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · HYH Export Sebaco FC 2–1–3 Diriangen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/26 Nicaragua Cup | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Diriangen |
| 05/07/26 Nicaragua Cup | Diriangen | 1-2 HT 1-0 | HYH Export Sebaco FC |
| 16/04/26 Nicaragua Clausura | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Diriangen |
| 16/02/26 Nicaragua Clausura | Diriangen | 0-1 HT 0-0 | HYH Export Sebaco FC |
| 07/12/25 Nicaragua Liga Primera Play-Offs | Diriangen | 5-0 HT 1-0 | HYH Export Sebaco FC |
| 30/11/25 Nicaragua Liga Primera Play-Offs | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Diriangen |
Standings · Nicaragua Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Managua FC | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Diriangen | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 7 | 18 |
| 3 | Real Esteli | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | UNAN Managua | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | San Marcos FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 11 |
| 6 | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 16 | 11 |
| 7 | Matagalpa FC | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 9 |
| 8 | CD Walter Ferretti | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 7 |
| 9 | Rancho Santana FC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 5 |
| 10 | Jalapa | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | HYH Export Sebaco FC | Diriangen |
|---|---|---|
| UNAN Managua | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| CD Walter Ferretti | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Real Esteli | 0-5 L | 2-0 W |
| Managua FC | 1-6 L | 3-3 D |
| Jalapa | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Rancho Santana FC | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| San Marcos FC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Matagalpa FC | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 5 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Diriangen (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
HYH Export Sebaco FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 02/09 | CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura |
0-5 | 1-6 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 11 | W |
| 02/08 | Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 19/07 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/11 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 07/11 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 8 | L |
Diriangen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/09 | Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 30/08 | Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/08 | Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 01/08 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 12 | D |
| 24/07 | CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 18/07 | San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 21/12 | Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 12 | W |
| 23/11 | Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in HYH Export Sebaco FC vs Diriangen?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Diriangen win (57%). Probabilities: HYH Export Sebaco FC 19%, draw 24%, Diriangen 57%.
How many goals are expected in HYH Export Sebaco FC vs Diriangen?
The model expects 3.04 goals (HYH Export Sebaco FC 1.07 · Diriangen 1.97), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in HYH Export Sebaco FC vs Diriangen?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.