Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 07/09, 01:00

Prediction: CD Walter Ferretti vs Managua FC

Team pages: CD Walter Ferretti · Managua FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.76Total

CD Walter Ferretti0.99

Managua FC1.77

1X2

20% 25% 55%

CD Walter Ferretti Draw Managua FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

CD Walter Ferretti 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WDLLWLWLLD

Managua FC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WDLWWWWWWD

Head-to-head

CD Walter Ferretti 3–2–1 Managua FC (6 last)

Managua FC1-1CD Walter Ferretti
CD Walter Ferretti1-0Managua FC
CD Walter Ferretti1-0Managua FC
Managua FC1-1CD Walter Ferretti
CD Walter Ferretti2-1Managua FC
Managua FC2-0CD Walter Ferretti

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Walter Ferretti 1477 · Managua FC 1589

	CD Walter Ferretti	Draw	Managua FC
Our model	20%	26%	55%
Market	21%	24%	55%

Estimated total (ours) 2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Managua FC (rating 1477 vs 1589).
H2H favours CD Walter Ferretti: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Walter Ferretti	Managua FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.5	2.7 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	1.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.7	3.3 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.5	5.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.33

X3.70

21.61

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.95

2 (-0.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.752.00

Under 2.751.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
06:38 +27’	4.33	3.70	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Walter Ferretti 3–2–1 Managua FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/04/26 Nicaragua Clausura	Managua FC	1-1 HT 0-0	CD Walter Ferretti
13/02/26 Nicaragua Clausura	CD Walter Ferretti	1-0 HT 1-0	Managua FC
27/10/25 Nicaragua Apertura	CD Walter Ferretti	1-0 HT 0-0	Managua FC
25/09/25 Nicaragua Apertura	Managua FC	1-1 HT 1-0	CD Walter Ferretti
02/05/25 Nicaragua Clausura	CD Walter Ferretti	2-1 HT 0-1	Managua FC
24/02/25 Nicaragua Clausura	Managua FC	2-0 HT 0-0	CD Walter Ferretti

Standings · Nicaragua Apertura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Managua FC	7	6	1	0	23	6	19
2	Real Esteli	7	5	1	1	15	4	16
3	Diriangen	7	4	3	0	14	7	15
4	UNAN Managua	8	4	2	2	8	6	14
5	HYH Export Sebaco FC	7	3	2	2	8	13	11
6	Matagalpa FC	8	3	0	5	4	13	9
7	San Marcos FC	8	2	2	4	6	11	8
8	CD Walter Ferretti	8	2	1	5	10	13	7
9	Rancho Santana FC	8	1	1	6	6	13	4
10	Jalapa	8	1	1	6	3	11	4

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Walter Ferretti	Managua FC
HYH Export Sebaco FC	1-1 D	6-1 W
San Marcos FC	0-1 L	4-1 W
UNAN Managua	0-1 L	2-0 W
Rancho Santana FC	3-1 W	2-1 W
Matagalpa FC	4-1 W	3-0 W
Diriangen	1-3 L	3-3 D
Jalapa	0-1 L	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	6 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Managua FC (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

CD Walter Ferretti

WDLLWLWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
31/08	San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	0-1	8	4	L
24/08	UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	0-1	4	8	L
16/08	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura	2-0	3-1	10	5	W
08/08	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	1-1	1-4	5	3	L
03/08	Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	4-1	7	3	W
24/07	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	1-1	1-3	5	4	L
19/07	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
28/11	Real Esteli Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	1-1	6	6	D
16/11	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	2-0	3-1	3	3	W

Managua FC

WDLWWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	2-2	3-3	8	9	D
31/08	UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura	1-0	2-0	10	4	W
23/08	HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura	5-0	6-1	1	4	W
10/08	Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura	2-0	3-0	9	3	W
01/08	San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-1	4-1	6	4	W
26/07	Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura	2-0	3-0	7	8	W
19/07	Rancho Santana FC Nicaragua Apertura	1-1	2-1	6	7	W
21/12	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	0-1	0-1	4	12	L
23/11	Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
06/11	UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura	2-0	3-0	4	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Walter Ferretti vs Managua FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Managua FC win (55%). Probabilities: CD Walter Ferretti 20%, draw 25%, Managua FC 55%.

How many goals are expected in CD Walter Ferretti vs Managua FC?

The model expects 2.76 goals (CD Walter Ferretti 0.99 · Managua FC 1.77), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Walter Ferretti vs Managua FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.