Football · Nicaragua Apertura · 06/09, 03:00
Prediction: Rancho Santana FC vs Real Esteli
Team pages: Rancho Santana FC · Real Esteli
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.67Total
Rancho Santana FC0.67
Real Esteli2
1X2
Rancho Santana FC
Draw
Real Esteli
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
0-2 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Rancho Santana FC
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Real Esteli
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rancho Santana FC
2–4
Real Esteli
(6 last)
- Rancho Santana FC0-4Real Esteli
- Real Esteli0-1Rancho Santana FC
- Real Esteli4-0Rancho Santana FC
- Rancho Santana FC0-1Real Esteli
- Real Esteli3-0Rancho Santana FC
- Rancho Santana FC3-2Real Esteli
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rancho Santana FC 1411 · Real Esteli 1565
| Rancho Santana FC | Draw | Real Esteli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 11% | 22% | 68% |
| Market | 12% | 19% | 69% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.67 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Real Esteli (rating 1411 vs 1565).
- H2H favours Real Esteli: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rancho Santana FC | Real Esteli | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.7 | 1.9 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.2 / 5.3 | 2.4 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.4 | 4.4 / 0.8 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rancho Santana FC 2–0–4 Real Esteli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/26 Nicaragua Clausura | Rancho Santana FC | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Real Esteli |
| 05/02/26 Nicaragua Clausura | Real Esteli | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Rancho Santana FC |
| 17/10/25 Nicaragua Apertura | Real Esteli | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Rancho Santana FC |
| 05/08/25 Nicaragua Apertura | Rancho Santana FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Real Esteli |
| 02/03/25 Nicaragua Clausura | Real Esteli | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Rancho Santana FC |
| 19/01/25 Nicaragua Clausura | Rancho Santana FC | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Real Esteli |
Standings · Nicaragua Apertura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Managua FC | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Real Esteli | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Diriangen | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
| 4 | UNAN Managua | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| 5 | HYH Export Sebaco FC | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 11 |
| 6 | Matagalpa FC | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 9 |
| 7 | San Marcos FC | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 8 |
| 8 | CD Walter Ferretti | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 7 |
| 9 | Rancho Santana FC | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 4 |
| 10 | Jalapa | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 4 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rancho Santana FC | Real Esteli |
|---|---|---|
| Jalapa | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Matagalpa FC | 1-0 W | 2-0 W |
| San Marcos FC | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| CD Walter Ferretti | 1-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Diriangen | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| HYH Export Sebaco FC | 0-1 L | 5-0 W |
| UNAN Managua | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 5 L | 5 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Real Esteli (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rancho Santana FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 30/08 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/08 | San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura |
0-1 | 1-2 | 14 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 02/08 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/07 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 19/07 | Managua FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 17/11 | Real Madriz FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 06/11 | Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
Real Esteli
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09 | San Marcos FC Nicaragua Apertura |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura |
2-0 | 5-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 23/08 | Diriangen Nicaragua Apertura |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura |
1-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 31/07 | Jalapa Nicaragua Apertura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 18/07 | UNAN Managua Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | D |
| 28/11 | CD Walter Ferretti Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 23/11 | Matagalpa FC Nicaragua Apertura |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 07/11 | HYH Export Sebaco FC Nicaragua Apertura |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rancho Santana FC vs Real Esteli?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Real Esteli win (68%). Probabilities: Rancho Santana FC 11%, draw 20%, Real Esteli 68%.
How many goals are expected in Rancho Santana FC vs Real Esteli?
The model expects 2.67 goals (Rancho Santana FC 0.67 · Real Esteli 2), with a 58% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Rancho Santana FC vs Real Esteli?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.