Football · Israel Liga Alef North · 10/09, 16:00

Prediction: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.53Total

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel1.51

Hapoel Bnei Musmus1.02

1X2

48% 27% 25%

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Draw Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDDWLLDDLW

Hapoel Bnei Musmus 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

DDLWWWLWWD

Head-to-head

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1–2 Hapoel Bnei Musmus (3 last)

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel2-3Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Hapoel Bnei Musmus1-0Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel5-2Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1515 · Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1552

	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	Draw	Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Our model	48%	28%	24%
Market	49%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hapoel Bnei Musmus: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	1.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.8	1.4 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	5.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.50

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:57

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:52 +4’	1.83	3.50	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1–0–2 Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
30/01/26 Israel Liga Alef North	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	2-3 HT 1-2	Hapoel Bnei Musmus
21/10/25 Israel Liga Alef North	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	1-0 HT 1-0	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
29/08/25 Israel Cup	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	5-2 HT 3-2	Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Standings · Israel Liga Alef North · Liga Alef 26/27, North

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ironi Nesher	1	1	0	0	6	1	3
2	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	1	1	0	0	3	1	3
3	Beitar Nahariya	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
3	Sport Club Tira	1	1	0	0	1	0	3
5	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
5	Hapoel Nof HaGalil	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
5	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
5	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	1	0	1	0	2	2	1
9	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
9	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
9	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
9	Maccabi Umm al-Fahm	1	0	1	0	0	0	1
13	Hapoel Beit Shean	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
15	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	1	0	0	1	0	1	0
17	Hapoel Bnei Jat United	1	0	0	1	1	3	0
18	FC Tzeirey Tamra	1	0	0	1	1	6	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	0-1 L	2-0 W
Hapoel Beit Shean	1-0 W	0-1 L
Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	0-0 D	2-1 W
FC Tzeirey Tamra	3-3 D	2-1 W
Ironi Nesher	4-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Hapoel Bnei Musmus (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hapoel Ironi Karmiel

WDDWLLDDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Hapoel Bnei Jat United Israel Liga Alef North	1-1	3-1	3	4	W
27/02	Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North	0-2	1-2	7	7	L
19/02	Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
13/02	Hapoel Tirat Karmel Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-1	5	3	D
05/02	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-1	11	4	L
30/01	Hapoel Bnei Musmus Israel Liga Alef North	1-2	2-3	2	6	L
23/01	Hapoel Beit Shean Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
16/01	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
09/01	FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North	3-2	3-3	4	7	D
06/01	Ironi Nesher Israel Liga Alef North	2-0	4-0	6	4	W

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

DDLWWWLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Maccabi Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
21/02	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	2-0	4	7	W
12/02	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North	2-0	2-1	4	4	W
06/02	Hapoel Beit Shean Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
30/01	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North	2-1	3-2	3	6	W
24/01	FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	2-1	3	6	W
16/01	Ironi Nesher Israel Liga Alef North	2-1	3-1	4	7	W
10/01	Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	1-2	2	7	L
06/01	Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	2-2	4	4	D
01/01	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	1-1	7	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hapoel Ironi Karmiel win (48%). Probabilities: Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 48%, draw 27%, Hapoel Bnei Musmus 25%.

How many goals are expected in Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?

The model expects 2.53 goals (Hapoel Ironi Karmiel 1.51 · Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1.02), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Hapoel Ironi Karmiel vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.