Football · Israel Liga Alef North · 09/09, 13:30
Prediction: Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Team pages: Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik · Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik1.89
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed0.84
1X2
Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
Draw
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
4–2–0
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
(6 last)
- Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed0-0Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
- Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik2-0Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik1-0Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik5-0Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed0-2Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
- Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik0-0Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik 1531 · Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 1437
| Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | Draw | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 24% | 15% |
| Market | 62% | 23% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik (rating 1531 vs 1437).
- H2H favours Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 4.6 | 2.3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik 4–2–0 Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 Israel Liga Alef North | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik |
| 26/09/25 Israel Liga Alef North | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed |
| 27/12/24 Israel Liga Alef North | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed |
| 05/04/24 Israel Liga Alef North | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed |
| 15/01/24 Israel Liga Alef North | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik |
| 27/01/23 Israel Liga Alef North | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed |
Standings · Israel Liga Alef North · Liga Alef 26/27, North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ironi Nesher | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Beitar Nahariya | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Sport Club Tira | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Hapoel Nof HaGalil | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 5 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Maccabi Umm al-Fahm | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Hapoel Beit Shean | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Hapoel Bnei Jat United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed |
|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Migdal Haemeq | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad | 5-3 W | 2-1 W |
| Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 26/02 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 21/02 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad Israel Liga Alef North |
2-1 | 5-3 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 12/02 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus Israel Liga Alef North |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 06/02 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 31/01 | Hapoel Beit Shean Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 24/01 | Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/01 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 10/01 | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 06/01 | FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 20/02 | Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 13/02 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad Israel Liga Alef North |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/02 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 30/01 | Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/01 | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North |
0-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 20/01 | Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North |
0-1 | 1-6 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/01 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 06/01 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel Israel Liga Alef North |
1-1 | 3-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 02/01 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik win (61%). Probabilities: Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik 61%, draw 23%, Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 15%.
How many goals are expected in Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik 1.89 · Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed 0.84), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik vs Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.