Football · Israel Liga Alef North · 05/09, 20:15

Prediction: Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad vs Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad1.56

Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye1.41

1X2

40% 27% 33%

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad Draw Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWWLLWLLD

Head-to-head

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1–1 Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye (2 last)

Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye4-1Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad3-0Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1487 · Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye 1494

	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	Draw	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye
Our model	40%	27%	33%
Market	40%	27%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 11.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.9	1.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	33/33/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.8	2.6 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.2	6.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.30

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
19:40 +4’	2.25	3.30	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1–0–1 Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/02/26 Israel Liga Alef North	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye	4-1 HT 2-1	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
27/09/25 Israel Liga Alef North	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	3-0 HT 1-0	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye

Standings · Israel Liga Alef North · Liga Alef 26/27, North

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ironi Nesher	1	1	0	6	1	3
2	Hapoel Ironi Karmiel	1	1	0	3	1	3
3	Sport Club Tira	1	1	0	1	0	3
4	Beitar Nahariya	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Hapoel Beit Shean	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Hapoel Nof HaGalil	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Maccabi Umm al-Fahm	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	1	0	1	0	1	0
17	Hapoel Bnei Jat United	1	0	1	1	3	0
18	FC Tzeirey Tamra	1	0	1	1	6	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye
Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm	2-1 W	0-1 L
Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	3-5 L	0-1 L
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed	1-2 L	1-2 L
Hapoel Migdal Haemeq	0-0 D	2-1 W
Hapoel Ironi Arraba	1-3 L	5-4 W
Sport Club Tira	0-3 L	1-0 W
Hapoel Tirat Karmel	2-0 W	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/02	Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	2-1	2	6	W
21/02	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North	1-2	3-5	8	3	L
13/02	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North	1-1	1-2	3	4	L
06/02	Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North	1-2	1-4	8	9	L
31/01	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
27/01	Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	1-3	4	5	L
16/01	Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North	0-2	0-3	4	5	L
11/01	Hapoel Tirat Karmel Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	2-0	6	7	W
06/01	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	2-0	2	6	W
01/01	Hapoel Bnei Musmus Israel Liga Alef North	1-0	1-1	4	6	D

Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/02	Ironi Nesher Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	0-0	8	8	D
20/02	Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Liga Alef North	–	0-3	–	–	L
13/02	Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
06/02	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad Israel Liga Alef North	2-1	4-1	6	9	W
30/01	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	1-2	6	5	L
24/01	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North	0-1	0-1	6	5	L
16/01	Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North	2-1	2-1	6	6	W
09/01	Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North	2-2	5-4	5	6	W
06/01	Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North	0-0	1-0	5	5	W
02/01	Hapoel Tirat Karmel Israel Liga Alef North	2-1	3-1	3	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad vs Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad win (40%). Probabilities: Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 40%, draw 27%, Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye 33%.

How many goals are expected in Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad vs Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1.56 · Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye 1.41), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad vs Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.