Football · Israel Liga Alef North · 05/09, 20:15
Prediction: Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Migdal Haemeq
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.4Total
Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik1.53
Hapoel Migdal Haemeq0.87
1X2
Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
Draw
Hapoel Migdal Haemeq
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Hapoel Migdal Haemeq
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
2–2–2
Hapoel Migdal Haemeq
(6 last)
- Hapoel Migdal Haemeq0-0Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
- Hapoel Migdal Haemeq3-0Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
- Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik1-0Hapoel Migdal Haemeq
- Hapoel Migdal Haemeq2-2Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
- Hapoel Migdal Haemeq2-1Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
- Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik3-0Hapoel Migdal Haemeq
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik 1525 · Hapoel Migdal Haemeq 1542
| Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | Draw | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 28% | 20% |
| Market | 53% | 26% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.7 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 4.7 | 2.3 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik 2–2–2 Hapoel Migdal Haemeq
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/26 Israel Liga Alef North | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik |
| 06/12/24 Israel Liga Alef North | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik |
| 12/03/24 Israel Liga Alef North | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq |
| 19/12/23 Israel Liga Alef North | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik |
| 17/03/23 Israel Liga Alef North | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik |
| 11/11/22 Israel Liga Alef North | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | 3-0 HT 3-0 | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq |
Standings · Israel Liga Alef North · Liga Alef 26/27, North
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ironi Nesher | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Sport Club Tira | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Beitar Nahariya | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Hapoel Beit Shean | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Hapoel Nof HaGalil | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Maccabi Umm al-Fahm | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Hapoel Bnei Jat United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq |
|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad | 5-3 W | 0-0 D |
| Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Tzeirey Tamra | 4-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 21/02 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad Israel Liga Alef North |
2-1 | 5-3 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 12/02 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus Israel Liga Alef North |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 06/02 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 31/01 | Hapoel Beit Shean Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 24/01 | Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/01 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 10/01 | Hapoel Migdal Haemeq Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 06/01 | FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 02/01 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
Hapoel Migdal Haemeq
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/02 | FC Tzeirey Tamra Israel Liga Alef North |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 19/02 | Ironi Nesher Israel Liga Alef North |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 13/02 | Maccabi Achi Nazareth Israel Liga Alef North |
1-3 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 06/02 | Tzeirey Umm al-Fahm Israel Liga Alef North |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 31/01 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 26/01 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Israel Liga Alef North |
1-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 16/01 | Hapoel Ironi Baqa Al Gharbiyye Israel Liga Alef North |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 10/01 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Israel Liga Alef North |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 06/01 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba Israel Liga Alef North |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 9 | W |
| 31/12 | Sport Club Tira Israel Liga Alef North |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Migdal Haemeq?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik win (52%). Probabilities: Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik 52%, draw 27%, Hapoel Migdal Haemeq 21%.
How many goals are expected in Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Migdal Haemeq?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik 1.53 · Hapoel Migdal Haemeq 0.87), with a 53% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Migdal Haemeq?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.