Football · Brazil Serie A · 17/09, 00:30
Prediction: Botafogo vs Gremio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
Botafogo1.77
Gremio1.39
1X2
Botafogo
Draw
Gremio
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Botafogo
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Gremio
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Botafogo
2–2–2
Gremio
(6 last)
- Gremio5-3Botafogo
- Botafogo3-2Gremio
- Gremio1-1Botafogo
- Botafogo0-0Gremio
- Gremio1-2Botafogo
- Botafogo3-4Gremio
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Botafogo | Gremio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.6 | 2.3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.3 | 5.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Botafogo 2–2–2 Gremio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/02/26 Brazil Serie A | Gremio | 5-3 HT 1-2 | Botafogo |
| 22/11/25 Brazil Serie A | Botafogo | 3-2 HT 2-0 | Gremio |
| 25/09/25 Brazil Serie A | Gremio | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Botafogo |
| 29/09/24 Brazil Serie A | Botafogo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gremio |
| 16/06/24 Brazil Serie A | Gremio | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Botafogo |
| 10/11/23 Brazil Serie A | Botafogo | 3-4 HT 2-1 | Gremio |
Standings · Brazil Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 56 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51 | 21 | 54 |
| 3 | Athletico Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41 | 31 | 46 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 45 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 40 | 32 | 43 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 42 |
| 7 | Atletico Mineiro | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 35 | 31 | 39 |
| 8 | Coritiba | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37 | 38 | 38 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 29 | 36 |
| 10 | Santos | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 35 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 30 | 33 |
| 12 | Vitoria | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 25 | 37 | 32 |
| 13 | Corinthians | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 27 | 32 |
| 14 | Botafogo | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 41 | 32 |
| 15 | Gremio | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 35 | 28 |
| 16 | Mirassol | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 40 | 28 |
| 17 | Vasco da Gama | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29 | 41 | 28 |
| 18 | Internacional | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 35 | 28 |
| 19 | Remo | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 43 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 52 | 17 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Botafogo | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| Bragantino | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Vitoria | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Fluminense | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Santos | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Botafogo (1 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Botafogo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Bragantino Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 06/09 | Palmeiras Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 30/08 | Flamengo Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/08 | Athletico Paranaense Brazil Serie A |
0-2 | 2-3 | 13 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Vitoria Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 09/08 | Fluminense Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 26/07 | Cruzeiro Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 24/07 | Vitoria Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 17/07 | Santos Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | EC Bahia Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
Gremio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Vasco da Gama Brazil Serie A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 08/09 | Vitoria Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | Chapecoense Brazil Serie A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Bragantino Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | Atletico Mineiro Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 08/08 | Sao Paulo Brazil Serie A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 26/07 | Fluminense Brazil Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | Mirassol Brazil Serie A |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Corinthians Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Santos Brazil Serie A |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Botafogo vs Gremio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Botafogo win (45%). Probabilities: Botafogo 45%, draw 25%, Gremio 29%.
How many goals are expected in Botafogo vs Gremio?
The model expects 3.16 goals (Botafogo 1.77 · Gremio 1.39), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Botafogo vs Gremio?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.