Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 18/09, 18:00

Prediction: AC Oulu vs FC Inter

Team pages: AC Oulu · FC Inter

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.95Total

AC Oulu0.85

FC Inter1.1

1X2

28% 31% 41%

AC Oulu Draw FC Inter

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

AC Oulu 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLDWLLWDLL

FC Inter 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWDLWDWDWL

Head-to-head

AC Oulu 1–1–4 FC Inter (6 last)

AC Oulu2-3FC Inter
FC Inter0-0AC Oulu
FC Inter2-1AC Oulu
FC Inter3-2AC Oulu
AC Oulu1-4FC Inter
AC Oulu1-0FC Inter

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AC Oulu 1440 · FC Inter 1560

	AC Oulu	Draw	FC Inter
Our model	27%	34%	40%
Market	29%	28%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 1.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Inter (rating 1440 vs 1560).
H2H favours FC Inter: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AC Oulu	FC Inter
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.3	1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.7	2.4 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.20

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.80

Under 2.252.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 1.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10%

Time*	1	X	2
15:08 +4’	3.10	3.20	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Oulu 1–1–4 FC Inter

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	AC Oulu	2-3 HT 2-0	FC Inter
13/06/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Inter	0-0 HT 0-0	AC Oulu
21/03/26 Finland Liigacup	FC Inter	2-1 HT 1-0	AC Oulu
08/08/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Inter	3-2 HT 1-0	AC Oulu
26/04/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	AC Oulu	1-4 HT 1-2	FC Inter
24/09/24 Finland Veikkausliiga	AC Oulu	1-0 HT 1-0	FC Inter

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga · Veikkausliiga 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KuPS Kuopio	24	12	9	3	39	24	45
2	FC Inter	23	11	9	3	30	18	42
3	HJK Helsinki	24	12	5	7	38	28	41
4	IF Gnistan	24	11	7	6	39	31	40
5	VPS Vaasa	23	10	6	7	30	22	36
6	AC Oulu	24	10	4	10	26	28	34

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AC Oulu	FC Inter
IF Gnistan	1-2 L	1-2 L
VPS Vaasa	0-1 L	1-0 W
SJK	0-0 D	1-1 D
FF Jaro	1-0 W	0-0 D
HJK Helsinki	0-1 L	1-2 L
IFK Mariehamn	1-1 D	2-0 W
TPS	0-3 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	2 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FC Inter (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AC Oulu

LLDWLLWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-2	3	4	L
08/09	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	8	5	L
31/08	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
22/08	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
16/08	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	2-0	2-3	3	3	L
09/08	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
02/08	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
25/07	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-1	9	5	D
18/07	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-2	10	4	L
11/07	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-3	0-3	9	2	L

FC Inter

DWDLWDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-2	3	3	L
31/08	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
23/08	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	14	4	D
16/08	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	3-2	2	3	W
09/08	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
02/08	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
26/07	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	1-2	4	2	L
19/07	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	12	1	D
27/06	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
23/06	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-1	3	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AC Oulu vs FC Inter?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Inter win (41%). Probabilities: AC Oulu 28%, draw 31%, FC Inter 41%.

How many goals are expected in AC Oulu vs FC Inter?

The model expects 1.95 goals (AC Oulu 0.85 · FC Inter 1.1), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in AC Oulu vs FC Inter?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.