Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 18/09, 17:00

Prediction: SJK vs IFK Mariehamn

Team pages: SJK · IFK Mariehamn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

SJK1.59

IFK Mariehamn1.22

1X2

45% 27% 28%

SJK Draw IFK Mariehamn

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

SJK 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWDLLDDD

IFK Mariehamn 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLLWWWLW

Head-to-head

SJK 4–2 IFK Mariehamn (6 last)

IFK Mariehamn2-0SJK
SJK3-0IFK Mariehamn
SJK4-1IFK Mariehamn
IFK Mariehamn1-2SJK
IFK Mariehamn0-4SJK
SJK0-2IFK Mariehamn

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SJK: 4-0-2.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SJK	IFK Mariehamn
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.2	1.3 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.7	2.4 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.81

Under 2.752.04

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 13:05

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Pinn 1.73
X	4.00 → 3.98▼	Pinn 3.98
2	4.43 → 4.44▲	Pinn 4.44

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
20:01 +59’	1.73	4.00	4.43
22:12 +58’	1.73	4.01▲	4.43
11:25 +100’	1.73	3.98▼	4.44▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SJK 4–0–2 IFK Mariehamn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	IFK Mariehamn	2-0 HT 1-0	SJK
10/04/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	SJK	3-0 HT 1-0	IFK Mariehamn
28/06/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	SJK	4-1 HT 3-0	IFK Mariehamn
19/04/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	IFK Mariehamn	1-2 HT 1-0	SJK
21/07/24 Finland Veikkausliiga	IFK Mariehamn	0-4 HT 0-0	SJK
31/05/24 Finland Veikkausliiga	SJK	0-2 HT 0-0	IFK Mariehamn

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga · Veikkausliiga 2026, Relegation Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Lahti	24	10	5	9	29	23	35
2	TPS	24	8	8	8	28	24	32
3	FC Ilves	24	9	4	11	39	38	31
4	SJK	24	4	9	11	26	34	21
5	IFK Mariehamn	24	4	5	15	19	45	17
6	FF Jaro	24	3	7	14	19	47	16

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SJK	IFK Mariehamn
FF Jaro	1-1 D	2-0 W
TPS	0-0 D	1-0 W
AC Oulu	0-0 D	1-1 D
FC Lahti	1-2 L	1-2 L
IF Gnistan	2-2 D	2-4 L
KuPS Kuopio	0-2 L	4-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 4 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Mariehamn (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SJK

LLLWDLLDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
08/09	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
31/08	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
21/08	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-2	4	8	L
15/08	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
07/08	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	1-2	2-2	5	4	D
03/08	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	3-0	6	3	W
24/07	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-2	8	6	L
18/07	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	0-2	8	4	L
10/07	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-1	8	7	L

IFK Mariehamn

LLDLLWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
08/09	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-2	9	4	L
31/08	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
23/08	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	3-1	4-2	4	3	W
15/08	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
09/08	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	0-2	11	4	L
01/08	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	0-3	4	4	L
25/07	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
20/07	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-2	5	2	L
11/07	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	2-4	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SJK vs IFK Mariehamn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SJK win (45%). Probabilities: SJK 45%, draw 27%, IFK Mariehamn 28%.

How many goals are expected in SJK vs IFK Mariehamn?

The model expects 2.81 goals (SJK 1.59 · IFK Mariehamn 1.22), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SJK vs IFK Mariehamn?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.