Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 18/09, 17:00

Prediction: FC Lahti vs FF Jaro

Team pages: FC Lahti · FF Jaro

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.54Total

FC Lahti1.86

FF Jaro0.68

1X2

64% 24% 12%

FC Lahti Draw FF Jaro

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 53% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Lahti 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWLWDLWWWL

FF Jaro 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WDWLLLLLLD

Head-to-head

FC Lahti 3–2–1 FF Jaro (6 last)

FC Lahti2-0FF Jaro
FF Jaro0-1FC Lahti
FC Lahti1-0FF Jaro
FF Jaro2-0FC Lahti
FF Jaro1-1FC Lahti
FC Lahti1-1FF Jaro

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Lahti (rating 1546 vs 1425).
H2H favours FC Lahti: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Lahti	FF Jaro
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.8	0.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.9	1.4 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.87

Under 2.751.97

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 23:10

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.52▲	Pinn 1.52
X	4.58 → 4.50▼	Pinn 4.50
2	5.90 → 5.65▼	Pinn 5.65

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 5.7%

Time*	1	X	2
19:57 +63’	1.50	4.58	5.90
22:12 +58’	1.52▲	4.50▼	5.65▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Lahti 3–2–1 FF Jaro

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Lahti	2-0 HT 1-0	FF Jaro
04/04/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	FF Jaro	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Lahti
27/10/24 Finland Veikkausliiga Play-Offs	FC Lahti	1-0 HT 0-0	FF Jaro
23/10/24 Finland Veikkausliiga Play-Offs	FF Jaro	2-0 HT 1-0	FC Lahti
18/10/15 Finland Veikkausliiga	FF Jaro	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Lahti
02/08/15 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Lahti	1-1 HT 1-1	FF Jaro

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga · Veikkausliiga 2026, Relegation Round

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Lahti	24	10	5	9	29	23	35
2	TPS	24	8	8	8	28	24	32
3	FC Ilves	24	9	4	11	39	38	31
4	SJK	24	4	9	11	26	34	21
5	IFK Mariehamn	24	4	5	15	19	45	17
6	FF Jaro	24	3	7	14	19	47	16

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Lahti	FF Jaro
FC Ilves	1-3 L	0-2 L
IFK Mariehamn	2-1 W	0-2 L
VPS Vaasa	1-0 W	1-3 L
SJK	2-1 W	1-1 D
FC Inter	0-0 D	0-0 D
HJK Helsinki	2-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Lahti (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Lahti

WWLWDLWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-3	6	3	L
08/09	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-1	2	4	W
31/08	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
21/08	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	2-1	5	8	W
16/08	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	1-2	1-2	3	4	L
09/08	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
01/08	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
26/07	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	8	3	L
20/07	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
11/07	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-0	6	4	W

FF Jaro

WDWLLLLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
08/09	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-2	3	3	L
31/08	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-2	3	5	L
22/08	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
16/08	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	0-3	4	3	L
08/08	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	1-2	1-3	2	4	L
01/08	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
24/07	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
19/07	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	1	1	D
04/07	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	2-0	2-1	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Lahti vs FF Jaro?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Lahti win (64%). Probabilities: FC Lahti 64%, draw 24%, FF Jaro 12%.

How many goals are expected in FC Lahti vs FF Jaro?

The model expects 2.54 goals (FC Lahti 1.86 · FF Jaro 0.68), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Lahti vs FF Jaro?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.