Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 14/09, 17:00

Prediction: FC Inter vs VPS Vaasa

Team pages: FC Inter · VPS Vaasa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

FC Inter1.66

VPS Vaasa0.84

1X2

56% 27% 18%

FC Inter Draw VPS Vaasa

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Inter 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWDLWDWDWL

VPS Vaasa 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLLLWLWLW

Head-to-head

FC Inter 5–1–0 VPS Vaasa (6 last)

VPS Vaasa0-1FC Inter
VPS Vaasa2-3FC Inter
FC Inter0-0VPS Vaasa
FC Inter2-1VPS Vaasa
VPS Vaasa0-2FC Inter
FC Inter4-2VPS Vaasa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Inter 1565 · VPS Vaasa 1490

	FC Inter	Draw	VPS Vaasa
Our model	56%	27%	18%
Market	56%	27%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Inter (rating 1565 vs 1490).
H2H favours FC Inter: 5-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Inter	VPS Vaasa
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.7	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/10/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.9	2.2 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.50

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 12:42

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.70▼	Pinn 1.72
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.68 ★
2	4.75 → 5.00▲	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 8.2% Pinnacle margin 5.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:50 +9’	1.73	3.40	4.75
06:07 +3’	1.67▼	3.50▲	5.25▲
12:37 +5’	1.70▲	3.40▼	5.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:15 +27’	1.91	3.50	3.94
19:28 +94’	1.70▼	3.75▲	5.01▲
23:01 +35’	1.69▼	3.80▲	5.01
15:49 +16’	1.69	3.81▲	5.00▼
21:26 +51’	1.70▲	3.78▼	4.92▼
18:23 +125’	1.71▲	3.73▼	4.93▲
05:59 +10’	1.66▼	4.00▲	4.93
06:21 +30’	1.66▼	4.02▲	4.93
07:28 +9’	1.67▲	3.94▼	4.93
07:40 +50’	1.67▼	3.96▲	4.93
09:36 +60’	1.68▲	3.88▼	4.93
12:28 +14’	1.71▲	3.73▼	4.93
15:37 +11’	1.72▲	3.68▼	4.94▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 3 odds moves recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Inter 5–1–0 VPS Vaasa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	VPS Vaasa	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Inter
30/06/26 Finland Cup	VPS Vaasa	2-3 HT 1-0	FC Inter
04/04/26 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Inter	0-0 HT 0-0	VPS Vaasa
31/08/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	FC Inter	2-1 HT 0-0	VPS Vaasa
19/04/25 Finland Veikkausliiga	VPS Vaasa	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Inter
12/03/25 Europe Friendlies	FC Inter	4-2 HT 1-1	VPS Vaasa

Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga · Veikkausliiga 2026, Championship Round

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	KuPS Kuopio	23	12	8	3	39	24	44
2	FC Inter	23	11	9	3	30	18	42
3	HJK Helsinki	23	12	4	7	38	28	40
4	IF Gnistan	24	11	7	6	39	31	40
5	VPS Vaasa	23	10	6	7	30	22	36
6	AC Oulu	24	10	4	10	26	28	34

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Inter	VPS Vaasa
HJK Helsinki	1-2 L	1-2 L
KuPS Kuopio	1-0 W	1-3 L
TPS	0-0 D	1-3 L
AC Oulu	3-2 W	1-0 W
FC Lahti	0-0 D	0-1 L
FF Jaro	0-0 D	3-1 W
IFK Mariehamn	2-0 W	4-0 W
SJK	1-1 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Inter

DWDLWDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-2	3	3	L
31/08	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
23/08	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	14	4	D
16/08	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	3-2	2	3	W
09/08	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	9	4	D
02/08	VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
26/07	IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	1-2	4	2	L
19/07	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	0-0	12	1	D
27/06	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
23/06	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-1	3	8	D

VPS Vaasa

WWLLLWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/09	AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	2	5	W
31/08	FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	4	2	L
22/08	FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
14/08	TPS Finland Veikkausliiga	0-2	1-3	7	6	L
08/08	FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga	2-1	3-1	6	4	W
02/08	FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
25/07	KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga	0-3	1-3	4	2	L
18/07	HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga	0-1	1-2	7	4	L
10/07	SJK Finland Veikkausliiga	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
04/07	IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga	2-0	4-0	4	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Inter vs VPS Vaasa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Inter win (56%). Probabilities: FC Inter 56%, draw 27%, VPS Vaasa 18%.

How many goals are expected in FC Inter vs VPS Vaasa?

The model expects 2.5 goals (FC Inter 1.66 · VPS Vaasa 0.84), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Inter vs VPS Vaasa?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.