Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 18/09, 18:00
Prediction: IF Gnistan vs HJK Helsinki
Team pages: IF Gnistan · HJK Helsinki
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
IF Gnistan1.78
HJK Helsinki1.49
1X2
IF Gnistan
Draw
HJK Helsinki
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
IF Gnistan
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
HJK Helsinki
6-0-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IF Gnistan
2–1–3
HJK Helsinki
(6 last)
- HJK Helsinki2-3IF Gnistan
- IF Gnistan0-3HJK Helsinki
- HJK Helsinki3-0IF Gnistan
- HJK Helsinki3-1IF Gnistan
- IF Gnistan2-2HJK Helsinki
- HJK Helsinki2-3IF Gnistan
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours HJK Helsinki: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IF Gnistan | HJK Helsinki | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.3 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.8 | 2.5 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IF Gnistan 2–1–3 HJK Helsinki
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | HJK Helsinki | 2-3 HT 2-0 | IF Gnistan |
| 18/04/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | IF Gnistan | 0-3 HT 0-1 | HJK Helsinki |
| 10/03/26 Europe Friendlies | HJK Helsinki | 3-0 HT 2-0 | IF Gnistan |
| 07/02/26 Finland Liigacup | HJK Helsinki | 3-1 HT 2-0 | IF Gnistan |
| 03/11/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | IF Gnistan | 2-2 HT 1-2 | HJK Helsinki |
| 03/10/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | HJK Helsinki | 2-3 HT 2-1 | IF Gnistan |
Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga · Veikkausliiga 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS Kuopio | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 44 |
| 2 | FC Inter | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 30 | 18 | 42 |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 40 |
| 4 | IF Gnistan | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 31 | 40 |
| 5 | VPS Vaasa | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 22 | 36 |
| 6 | AC Oulu | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 28 | 34 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IF Gnistan | HJK Helsinki |
|---|---|---|
| AC Oulu | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| KuPS Kuopio | 1-1 D | 0-4 L |
| TPS | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| FC Ilves | 3-2 W | 2-1 W |
| SJK | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| FC Inter | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: IF Gnistan (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IF Gnistan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/09 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 31/08 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 17/08 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 07/08 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 4-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
HJK Helsinki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 31/08 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 23/08 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 16/08 | FF Jaro Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 03/08 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 16 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 8 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IF Gnistan vs HJK Helsinki?
According to our model, the most likely result is a IF Gnistan win (44%). Probabilities: IF Gnistan 44%, draw 25%, HJK Helsinki 31%.
How many goals are expected in IF Gnistan vs HJK Helsinki?
The model expects 3.27 goals (IF Gnistan 1.78 · HJK Helsinki 1.49), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in IF Gnistan vs HJK Helsinki?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.