Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 16/09, 00:30
Prediction: Deportivo Tachira vs Academia Puerto Cabello
Team pages: Deportivo Tachira · Academia Puerto Cabello
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Deportivo Tachira1.34
Academia Puerto Cabello0.95
1X2
Deportivo Tachira
Draw
Academia Puerto Cabello
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Tachira
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Academia Puerto Cabello
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Tachira
3–2–1
Academia Puerto Cabello
(6 last)
- Academia Puerto Cabello1-2Deportivo Tachira
- Deportivo Tachira0-0Academia Puerto Cabello
- Deportivo Tachira2-0Academia Puerto Cabello
- Academia Puerto Cabello1-2Deportivo Tachira
- Academia Puerto Cabello3-2Deportivo Tachira
- Academia Puerto Cabello0-0Deportivo Tachira
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Tachira 1563 · Academia Puerto Cabello 1514
| Deportivo Tachira | Draw | Academia Puerto Cabello | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 30% | 25% |
| Market | 45% | 30% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.29 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Tachira (rating 1563 vs 1514).
- H2H favours Deportivo Tachira: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Tachira | Academia Puerto Cabello | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.2 | 2.4 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.6 | 4.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Tachira 3–2–1 Academia Puerto Cabello
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Academia Puerto Cabello | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Tachira |
| 22/09/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Tachira | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Academia Puerto Cabello |
| 07/06/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Tachira | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Academia Puerto Cabello |
| 03/05/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Academia Puerto Cabello | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Tachira |
| 14/04/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Academia Puerto Cabello | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Deportivo Tachira |
| 28/08/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Academia Puerto Cabello | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Tachira |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 22 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportivo La Guaira | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 11 | 16 |
| 4 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Estudiantes Merida | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 15 |
| 6 | Carabobo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
| 7 | Portuguesa | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 14 |
| 8 | UCV | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
| 9 | Monagas | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 10 |
| 10 | Caracas | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 11 | Trujillanos | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 10 |
| 12 | Zamora | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 8 |
| 13 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 20 | 7 |
| 14 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Tachira | Academia Puerto Cabello |
|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes Merida | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Zamora | 5-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Caracas | 0-0 D | 3-1 W |
| Metropolitanos FC | 1-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Carabobo | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Academia Puerto Cabello (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Tachira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 06/09 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 02/09 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 5-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 3-2 | 13 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 05/08 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
Academia Puerto Cabello
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 08/09 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 04/09 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 01/09 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 22/08 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/08 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | Zamora Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 03/08 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 08/06 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Tachira vs Academia Puerto Cabello?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Tachira win (45%). Probabilities: Deportivo Tachira 45%, draw 30%, Academia Puerto Cabello 25%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Tachira vs Academia Puerto Cabello?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Deportivo Tachira 1.34 · Academia Puerto Cabello 0.95), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Tachira vs Academia Puerto Cabello?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.