Football · Finland Veikkausliiga · 08/09, 18:00
Prediction: IF Gnistan vs KuPS Kuopio
Team pages: IF Gnistan · KuPS Kuopio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
IF Gnistan1.55
KuPS Kuopio1.34
1X2
IF Gnistan
Draw
KuPS Kuopio
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
IF Gnistan
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
KuPS Kuopio
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
IF Gnistan
0–1–5
KuPS Kuopio
(6 last)
- IF Gnistan0-1KuPS Kuopio
- KuPS Kuopio1-0IF Gnistan
- KuPS Kuopio1-1IF Gnistan
- IF Gnistan0-4KuPS Kuopio
- KuPS Kuopio6-2IF Gnistan
- IF Gnistan1-2KuPS Kuopio
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours KuPS Kuopio: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IF Gnistan | KuPS Kuopio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.3 | 2.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 1.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 80/10/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.5 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.3 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IF Gnistan 0–1–5 KuPS Kuopio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | IF Gnistan | 0-1 HT 0-1 | KuPS Kuopio |
| 11/04/26 Finland Veikkausliiga | KuPS Kuopio | 1-0 HT 0-0 | IF Gnistan |
| 30/10/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | KuPS Kuopio | 1-1 HT 1-0 | IF Gnistan |
| 27/09/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | IF Gnistan | 0-4 HT 0-2 | KuPS Kuopio |
| 01/07/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | KuPS Kuopio | 6-2 HT 3-1 | IF Gnistan |
| 27/04/25 Finland Veikkausliiga | IF Gnistan | 1-2 HT 1-0 | KuPS Kuopio |
Standings · Finland Veikkausliiga · Veikkausliiga 2026, Championship Round
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KuPS Kuopio | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 38 | 23 | 43 |
| 2 | FC Inter | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 29 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | HJK Helsinki | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36 | 27 | 37 |
| 4 | IF Gnistan | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 29 | 36 |
| 5 | AC Oulu | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 34 |
| 6 | VPS Vaasa | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 22 | 33 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | IF Gnistan | KuPS Kuopio |
|---|---|---|
| TPS | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| HJK Helsinki | 3-2 W | 4-0 W |
| FC Ilves | 3-2 W | 4-3 W |
| SJK | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| FC Inter | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| IFK Mariehamn | 4-2 W | 2-4 L |
| FC Lahti | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| VPS Vaasa | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 3 D 1 L | 5 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: KuPS Kuopio (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IF Gnistan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | D |
| 23/08 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 17/08 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 07/08 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | KuPS Kuopio Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 26/07 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | AC Oulu Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 11/07 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 4-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 04/07 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/06 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
KuPS Kuopio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | FC Inter Finland Veikkausliiga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/08 | IFK Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | FC Lahti Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/08 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | IF Gnistan Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | VPS Vaasa Finland Veikkausliiga |
3-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 18/07 | SJK Finland Veikkausliiga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | HJK Helsinki Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 23/06 | FC Ilves Finland Veikkausliiga |
4-1 | 4-3 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 17/06 | TPS Finland Veikkausliiga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in IF Gnistan vs KuPS Kuopio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a IF Gnistan win (41%). Probabilities: IF Gnistan 41%, draw 27%, KuPS Kuopio 32%.
How many goals are expected in IF Gnistan vs KuPS Kuopio?
The model expects 2.88 goals (IF Gnistan 1.55 · KuPS Kuopio 1.34), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in IF Gnistan vs KuPS Kuopio?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.