Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 06/09, 06:00

Prediction: Sydney United 58 vs Manly Utd

Team pages: Sydney United 58 · Manly Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Sydney United 581.57

Manly Utd0.69

1X2

59% 25% 16%

Sydney United 58 Draw Manly Utd

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 55% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Sydney United 58 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LDWWLWWWDW

Manly Utd 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWDWLWWD

Head-to-head

Sydney United 58 3–2–1 Manly Utd (6 last)

Manly Utd1-1Sydney United 58
Manly Utd1-2Sydney United 58
Sydney United 582-0Manly Utd
Sydney United 581-0Manly Utd
Manly Utd0-0Sydney United 58
Sydney United 580-2Manly Utd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sydney United 58 1575 · Manly Utd 1540

	Sydney United 58	Draw	Manly Utd
Our model	58%	27%	15%
Market	60%	23%	17%

Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sydney United 58: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sydney United 58	Manly Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 0.4	1.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.2	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.8	2.4 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0.1	2.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.50

X3.80

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.93

2 (+1)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 06:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.50▼	Pinn 1.50
X	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 4.05 ★
2	5.00 → 5.25▲	Pinn 5.58

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
09:34 +3’	1.53	3.80	5.00
22:48 +14’	1.44▼	4.00▲	6.00▲
03:37 +8’	1.53▲	3.75▼	5.25▼
06:48 +11’	1.50▼	3.80▲	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:36	1.58	3.78	4.64
10:33 +1’	1.51▼	4.02▲	5.44▲
06:59	1.50▼	4.09▲	5.58▲
10:14	1.50▲	4.05▼	5.58

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sydney United 58 3–2–1 Manly Utd

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
12/06/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Manly Utd	1-1 HT 0-1	Sydney United 58
13/05/26 Australia Cup Qualifying	Manly Utd	1-2 HT 0-0	Sydney United 58
27/02/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney United 58	2-0 HT 2-0	Manly Utd
08/06/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney United 58	1-0 HT 1-0	Manly Utd
21/02/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Manly Utd	0-0 HT 0-0	Sydney United 58
18/08/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney United 58	0-2 HT 0-1	Manly Utd

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Apia L Tigers	30	21	5	4	66	35	68
2	Sydney United 58	30	20	4	6	47	20	64
3	Marconi Stallions	30	19	5	6	50	22	62
4	Sutherland Sharks	30	14	4	12	46	38	46
5	Manly Utd	30	12	8	10	39	35	44
6	NWS Spirit FC	30	12	5	13	37	38	41
7	SD Raiders	30	12	5	13	44	49	41
8	Sydney FC U21	30	11	8	11	38	43	41
9	Rockdale Ilinden FC	30	12	4	14	46	44	40
10	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	30	11	5	14	55	49	38
11	Wollongong Wolves	30	11	5	14	35	43	38
12	St George City FA	30	10	7	13	30	46	37
13	Blacktown City	30	9	8	13	43	46	35
14	University NSW	30	9	5	16	38	49	32
15	St George Saints	30	8	3	19	28	55	27
16	Sydney Olympic	30	6	5	19	32	62	23

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sydney United 58	Manly Utd
Sydney Olympic	2-1 W	4-0 W
Wollongong Wolves	2-1 W	4-0 W
NWS Spirit FC	2-0 W	0-4 L
Marconi Stallions	1-0 W	3-1 W
Rockdale Ilinden FC	1-0 W	1-1 D
Sydney FC U21	0-1 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Manly Utd (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sydney United 58

LDWWLWWWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	3-0	6-0	11	1	W
23/08	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
15/08	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	2-1	3	1	W
09/08	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
02/08	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
25/07	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
19/07	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
12/07	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
05/07	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
26/06	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	7	2	L

Manly Utd

WWDWDWLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
30/08	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	3-0	4-0	5	2	W
22/08	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	10	0	W
15/08	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-3	0-4	8	1	L
08/08	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	3-1	1	1	W
02/08	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
24/07	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	4-0	6	2	W
17/07	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
11/07	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	2-1	5	5	W
04/07	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	4	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sydney United 58 vs Manly Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sydney United 58 win (59%). Probabilities: Sydney United 58 59%, draw 25%, Manly Utd 16%.

How many goals are expected in Sydney United 58 vs Manly Utd?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Sydney United 58 1.57 · Manly Utd 0.69), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sydney United 58 vs Manly Utd?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.