Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 30/08, 07:00

Prediction: Sydney United 58 vs St George Saints

Team pages: Sydney United 58 · St George Saints

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.39Total

Sydney United 581.73

St George Saints0.66

1X2

63% 23% 14%

Sydney United 58 Draw St George Saints

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Sydney United 58 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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St George Saints 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDLDWW

Head-to-head

Sydney United 58 4–2–0 St George Saints (6 last)

St George Saints1-3Sydney United 58
Sydney United 581-1St George Saints
St George Saints2-4Sydney United 58
Sydney United 580-0St George Saints
St George Saints2-3Sydney United 58
Sydney United 584-0St George Saints

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sydney United 58 1563 · St George Saints 1443

	Sydney United 58	Draw	St George Saints
Our model	62%	25%	13%
Market	64%	22%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 2.39 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sydney United 58 (rating 1563 vs 1443).
H2H favours Sydney United 58: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sydney United 58	St George Saints
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 0.4	0.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.2	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.3	1.8 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.42

X4.10

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 00:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.42▼	Bet365 1.42
X	3.80 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10
2	5.50 → 6.25▲	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
09:18 +6’	1.50	3.80	5.50
12:51 +6’	1.40▼	4.00▲	6.50▲
18:08 +16’	1.30▼	4.50▲	8.50▲
00:20 +8’	1.42▲	4.10▼	6.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sydney United 58 4–2–0 St George Saints

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	St George Saints	1-3 HT 0-2	Sydney United 58
03/08/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney United 58	1-1 HT 0-1	St George Saints
19/04/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	St George Saints	2-4 HT 2-3	Sydney United 58
23/06/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney United 58	0-0 HT 0-0	St George Saints
16/03/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	St George Saints	2-3 HT 0-2	Sydney United 58
23/01/21 Australia Friendlies	Sydney United 58	4-0 HT 4-0	St George Saints

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Apia L Tigers	29	20	5	4	62	33	65
2	Sydney United 58	29	19	4	6	41	20	61
3	Marconi Stallions	29	19	4	6	49	21	61
4	Sutherland Sharks	29	14	4	11	45	36	46
5	Manly Utd	29	11	8	10	35	35	41
6	Sydney FC U21	29	11	7	11	37	42	40
7	NWS Spirit FC	29	12	4	13	36	37	40
8	SD Raiders	29	11	5	13	42	48	38
9	Wollongong Wolves	29	11	5	13	35	39	38
10	Rockdale Ilinden FC	29	11	4	14	44	44	37
11	St George City FA	29	10	7	12	28	42	37
12	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	29	10	5	14	52	48	35
13	Blacktown City	29	9	8	12	42	43	35
14	University NSW	29	9	5	15	38	47	32
15	St George Saints	29	8	3	18	28	49	27
16	Sydney Olympic	29	6	4	19	31	61	22

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sydney United 58	St George Saints
Apia L Tigers	0-0 D	0-0 D
Sydney Olympic	2-1 W	1-2 L
NWS Spirit FC	2-0 W	1-3 L
Marconi Stallions	1-0 W	0-2 L
Rockdale Ilinden FC	1-0 W	1-6 L
Blacktown City	0-0 D	1-0 W
Sydney FC U21	0-1 L	0-0 D
SD Raiders	1-0 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Sydney United 58 (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sydney United 58

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
15/08	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	2-1	3	1	W
09/08	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
02/08	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
25/07	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
19/07	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
12/07	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
05/07	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
26/06	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
21/06	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	6	7	W

St George Saints

LLLLLDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
15/08	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
08/08	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
01/08	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-3	4	4	L
25/07	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
18/07	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-3	1-6	4	5	L
11/07	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	1-3	2	6	L
05/07	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-2	6	3	L
27/06	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-2	9	6	L
20/06	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-2	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sydney United 58 vs St George Saints?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sydney United 58 win (63%). Probabilities: Sydney United 58 63%, draw 23%, St George Saints 14%.

How many goals are expected in Sydney United 58 vs St George Saints?

The model expects 2.39 goals (Sydney United 58 1.73 · St George Saints 0.66), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Sydney United 58 vs St George Saints?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.