Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 02/09, 11:30
Prediction: Marconi Stallions vs NWS Spirit FC
Team pages: Marconi Stallions · NWS Spirit FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.52Total
Marconi Stallions1.52
NWS Spirit FC1
1X2
Marconi Stallions
Draw
NWS Spirit FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Marconi Stallions
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
NWS Spirit FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Marconi Stallions
3–1–2
NWS Spirit FC
(6 last)
- Marconi Stallions1-1NWS Spirit FC
- NWS Spirit FC0-3Marconi Stallions
- Marconi Stallions0-5NWS Spirit FC
- NWS Spirit FC1-2Marconi Stallions
- NWS Spirit FC1-0Marconi Stallions
- Marconi Stallions2-1NWS Spirit FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marconi Stallions 1521 · NWS Spirit FC 1515
| Marconi Stallions | Draw | NWS Spirit FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 28% | 24% |
| Market | 49% | 27% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.52 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Marconi Stallions: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Marconi Stallions | NWS Spirit FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 0.8 | 1.6 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.3 | 2.3 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marconi Stallions 3–1–2 NWS Spirit FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Marconi Stallions | 1-1 HT 1-1 | NWS Spirit FC |
| 16/05/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League | NWS Spirit FC | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Marconi Stallions |
| 26/07/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Marconi Stallions | 0-5 HT 0-2 | NWS Spirit FC |
| 12/04/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | NWS Spirit FC | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Marconi Stallions |
| 08/06/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | NWS Spirit FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Marconi Stallions |
| 02/03/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Marconi Stallions | 2-1 HT 1-0 | NWS Spirit FC |
Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apia L Tigers | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66 | 35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney United 58 | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46 | 38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39 | 35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit FC | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37 | 38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44 | 49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U21 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38 | 43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden FC | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46 | 44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55 | 49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong Wolves | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35 | 43 | 38 |
| 12 | St George City FA | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 46 | 35 |
| 14 | University NSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38 | 49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28 | 55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 62 | 23 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Marconi Stallions | NWS Spirit FC |
|---|---|---|
| Manly Utd | 1-3 L | 4-0 W |
| SD Raiders | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Sydney United 58 | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 3-0 W | 0-4 L |
| St George Saints | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Blacktown City | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marconi Stallions
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 23/08 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 16/08 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/08 | St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 25/07 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 19/07 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 12/07 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 05/07 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
NWS Spirit FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 22/08 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 15/08 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 05/07 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 27/06 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marconi Stallions vs NWS Spirit FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Marconi Stallions win (48%). Probabilities: Marconi Stallions 48%, draw 28%, NWS Spirit FC 24%.
How many goals are expected in Marconi Stallions vs NWS Spirit FC?
The model expects 2.52 goals (Marconi Stallions 1.52 · NWS Spirit FC 1), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Marconi Stallions vs NWS Spirit FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.