Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 30/08, 07:00

Prediction: Sutherland Sharks vs SD Raiders

Team pages: Sutherland Sharks · SD Raiders

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Sutherland Sharks1.57

SD Raiders1.4

1X2

41% 26% 33%

Sutherland Sharks Draw SD Raiders

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Sutherland Sharks 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLDWWDLW

SD Raiders 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWWLL

Head-to-head

Sutherland Sharks 0–1–0 SD Raiders (1 last)

SD Raiders2-2Sutherland Sharks

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sutherland Sharks 1552 · SD Raiders 1488

	Sutherland Sharks	Draw	SD Raiders
Our model	40%	27%	33%
Market	41%	26%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sutherland Sharks (rating 1552 vs 1488).
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sutherland Sharks	SD Raiders
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.1	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.3	0.2 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	10/20/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.3	2.3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	4.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.50

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
09:17 +6’	2.20	3.50	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sutherland Sharks 0–1–0 SD Raiders

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	SD Raiders	2-2 HT 1-1	Sutherland Sharks

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Apia L Tigers	29	20	5	4	62	33	65
2	Sydney United 58	29	19	4	6	41	20	61
3	Marconi Stallions	29	19	4	6	49	21	61
4	Sutherland Sharks	29	14	4	11	45	36	46
5	Manly Utd	29	11	8	10	35	35	41
6	Sydney FC U21	29	11	7	11	37	42	40
7	NWS Spirit FC	29	12	4	13	36	37	40
8	SD Raiders	29	11	5	13	42	48	38
9	Wollongong Wolves	29	11	5	13	35	39	38
10	Rockdale Ilinden FC	29	11	4	14	44	44	37
11	St George City FA	29	10	7	12	28	42	37
12	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	29	10	5	14	52	48	35
13	Blacktown City	29	9	8	12	42	43	35
14	University NSW	29	9	5	15	38	47	32
15	St George Saints	29	8	3	18	28	49	27
16	Sydney Olympic	29	6	4	19	31	61	22

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sutherland Sharks	SD Raiders
St George City FA	2-1 W	3-1 W
Marconi Stallions	0-1 L	2-1 W
Sydney FC U21	1-1 D	0-1 L
Wollongong Wolves	2-1 W	3-2 W
Manly Utd	1-2 L	0-1 L
Apia L Tigers	3-2 W	1-3 L
Western Sydney Wanderers U21	3-0 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sutherland Sharks

WWWLDWWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-0	2-1	7	2	W
16/08	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-1	3	3	L
08/08	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-1	5	4	D
01/08	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
26/07	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	3-1	4	4	W
18/07	Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-1	7	5	D
11/07	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-2	2	5	L
04/07	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	3-2	4	4	W
27/06	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	3-1	5	3	W
20/06	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	3-0	3	1	W

SD Raiders

WLLLWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-1	5	10	L
15/08	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-3	1-3	4	8	L
08/08	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	3-0	7	7	W
01/08	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	3-2	4	4	W
25/07	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	2-1	6	3	W
18/07	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-2	3-2	4	8	W
11/07	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	1-3	5	3	L
04/07	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
30/06	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	9	1	L
27/06	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	3-1	5	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sutherland Sharks vs SD Raiders?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sutherland Sharks win (41%). Probabilities: Sutherland Sharks 41%, draw 26%, SD Raiders 33%.

How many goals are expected in Sutherland Sharks vs SD Raiders?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Sutherland Sharks 1.57 · SD Raiders 1.4), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sutherland Sharks vs SD Raiders?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.