Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 05/09, 23:30
Prediction: Sportivo San Lorenzo vs 2 de Mayo
Team pages: Sportivo San Lorenzo · 2 de Mayo
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.87Total
Sportivo San Lorenzo0.75
2 de Mayo1.11
1X2
Sportivo San Lorenzo
Draw
2 de Mayo
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
Sportivo San Lorenzo
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
2 de Mayo
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sportivo San Lorenzo
3–1–2
2 de Mayo
(6 last)
- 2 de Mayo0-1Sportivo San Lorenzo
- Sportivo San Lorenzo1-12 de Mayo
- Sportivo San Lorenzo0-12 de Mayo
- 2 de Mayo2-1Sportivo San Lorenzo
- Sportivo San Lorenzo1-02 de Mayo
- 2 de Mayo0-2Sportivo San Lorenzo
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo San Lorenzo 1429 · 2 de Mayo 1557
| Sportivo San Lorenzo | Draw | 2 de Mayo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 23% | 34% | 43% |
| Market | 26% | 29% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours 2 de Mayo (rating 1429 vs 1557).
- H2H favours Sportivo San Lorenzo: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo San Lorenzo | 2 de Mayo | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.3 / 1.5 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.5 | 1.5 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.4 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo San Lorenzo 3–1–2 2 de Mayo
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | 2 de Mayo | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo |
| 17/03/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 1-1 HT 0-1 | 2 de Mayo |
| 08/09/23 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0-1 HT 0-1 | 2 de Mayo |
| 05/06/23 Paraguay Division Intermedia | 2 de Mayo | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Sportivo San Lorenzo |
| 12/07/22 Paraguay Division Intermedia | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 1-0 HT 0-0 | 2 de Mayo |
| 04/04/22 Paraguay Division Intermedia | 2 de Mayo | 0-2 | Sportivo San Lorenzo |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 2 de Mayo |
|---|---|---|
| Rubio Nu | 1-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Libertad Asuncion | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Cerro Porteno | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Sportivo Luqueno | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Sportivo Trinidense | 0-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Guarani Asuncion | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Recoleta | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 6 L | 4 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: 2 de Mayo (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sportivo San Lorenzo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 28/08 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 24/08 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 03/08 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 30/07 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 22/05 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
2 de Mayo
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 25/08 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 14/08 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 08/08 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 28/07 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/07 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 14/05 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sportivo San Lorenzo vs 2 de Mayo?
According to our model, the most likely result is an 2 de Mayo win (44%). Probabilities: Sportivo San Lorenzo 25%, draw 31%, 2 de Mayo 44%.
How many goals are expected in Sportivo San Lorenzo vs 2 de Mayo?
The model expects 1.87 goals (Sportivo San Lorenzo 0.75 · 2 de Mayo 1.11), with a 59% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sportivo San Lorenzo vs 2 de Mayo?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.