Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 13/09, 23:30
Prediction: Rubio Nu vs Nacional Asuncion
Team pages: Rubio Nu · Nacional Asuncion
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
Rubio Nu0.96
Nacional Asuncion1.38
1X2
Rubio Nu
Draw
Nacional Asuncion
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Rubio Nu
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Nacional Asuncion
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rubio Nu
1–2–3
Nacional Asuncion
(6 last)
- Rubio Nu1-1Nacional Asuncion
- Nacional Asuncion1-0Rubio Nu
- Nacional Asuncion1-1Rubio Nu
- Rubio Nu0-1Nacional Asuncion
- Rubio Nu1-2Nacional Asuncion
- Nacional Asuncion0-3Rubio Nu
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rubio Nu 1452 · Nacional Asuncion 1563
| Rubio Nu | Draw | Nacional Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 30% | 45% |
| Market | 26% | 28% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.34 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nacional Asuncion (rating 1452 vs 1563).
- H2H favours Nacional Asuncion: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rubio Nu | Nacional Asuncion | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.1 | 1.6 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.6 | 1.6 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rubio Nu 1–2–3 Nacional Asuncion
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Rubio Nu | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Nacional Asuncion |
| 15/03/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Nacional Asuncion | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Rubio Nu |
| 22/10/17 Paraguay Division Profesional | Nacional Asuncion | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Rubio Nu |
| 12/08/17 Paraguay Division Profesional | Rubio Nu | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Nacional Asuncion |
| 28/04/17 Paraguay Division Profesional | Rubio Nu | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Nacional Asuncion |
| 20/02/17 Paraguay Division Profesional | Nacional Asuncion | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Rubio Nu |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rubio Nu | Nacional Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Libertad Asuncion | 2-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Sportivo Luqueno | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Sportivo Trinidense | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Guarani Asuncion | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Recoleta | 1-3 L | 2-3 L |
| Olimpia Asuncion | 0-5 L | 2-0 W |
| Sportivo Ameliano | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Cerro Porteno | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 5 L | 4 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Nacional Asuncion (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rubio Nu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 01/09 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 28/08 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 15/08 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 07/08 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/08 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 28/07 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 24/07 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
Nacional Asuncion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Cerro Porteno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 02/09 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/08 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Guarani Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 03/08 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/07 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rubio Nu vs Nacional Asuncion?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Nacional Asuncion win (46%). Probabilities: Rubio Nu 25%, draw 29%, Nacional Asuncion 46%.
How many goals are expected in Rubio Nu vs Nacional Asuncion?
The model expects 2.34 goals (Rubio Nu 0.96 · Nacional Asuncion 1.38), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Rubio Nu vs Nacional Asuncion?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.