Football · Paraguay Division Profesional · 12/09, 21:00
Prediction: Guarani Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno
Team pages: Guarani Asuncion · Cerro Porteno
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.91Total
Guarani Asuncion0.93
Cerro Porteno0.99
1X2
Guarani Asuncion
Draw
Cerro Porteno
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0 16%
Recent form · 10 last
Guarani Asuncion
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Cerro Porteno
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Guarani Asuncion
1–1–4
Cerro Porteno
(6 last)
- Cerro Porteno0-0Guarani Asuncion
- Guarani Asuncion0-2Cerro Porteno
- Cerro Porteno1-0Guarani Asuncion
- Guarani Asuncion3-4Cerro Porteno
- Guarani Asuncion0-2Cerro Porteno
- Cerro Porteno0-1Guarani Asuncion
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cerro Porteno (rating 1475 vs 1539).
- H2H favours Cerro Porteno: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guarani Asuncion | Cerro Porteno | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 4.9 | 1.6 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guarani Asuncion 1–1–4 Cerro Porteno
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Cerro Porteno | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Guarani Asuncion |
| 07/03/26 Paraguay Division Profesional | Guarani Asuncion | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Cerro Porteno |
| 03/11/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Cerro Porteno | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Guarani Asuncion |
| 16/08/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Guarani Asuncion | 3-4 HT 2-2 | Cerro Porteno |
| 10/05/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Guarani Asuncion | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Cerro Porteno |
| 02/03/25 Paraguay Division Profesional | Cerro Porteno | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Guarani Asuncion |
Standings · Paraguay Division Profesional
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Recoleta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guarani Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | 2 de Mayo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Libertad Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Nacional Asuncion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rubio Nu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Ameliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Luqueno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sportivo Trinidense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guarani Asuncion | Cerro Porteno |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Recoleta | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Olimpia Asuncion | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Sportivo Ameliano | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| 2 de Mayo | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Rubio Nu | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Nacional Asuncion | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Libertad Asuncion | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Sportivo San Lorenzo | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Sportivo Luqueno | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 4 D 2 L | 5 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Guarani Asuncion (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guarani Asuncion
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 02/09 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 30/08 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 25/08 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 15/08 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 02/08 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 30/07 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 26/07 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
Cerro Porteno
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Nacional Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 03/09 | Deportivo Recoleta Paraguay Division Profesional |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Libertad Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 23/08 | Olimpia Asuncion Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Sportivo San Lorenzo Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Sportivo Ameliano Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Sportivo Luqueno Paraguay Division Profesional |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 28/07 | 2 de Mayo Paraguay Division Profesional |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Sportivo Trinidense Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Rubio Nu Paraguay Division Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guarani Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Cerro Porteno win (34%). Probabilities: Guarani Asuncion 31%, draw 34%, Cerro Porteno 34%.
How many goals are expected in Guarani Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno?
The model expects 1.91 goals (Guarani Asuncion 0.93 · Cerro Porteno 0.99), with a 58% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Guarani Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.