Football · Finland Kakkonen Group A · 03/09, 18:00

Prediction: HIFK 2 vs HPS

Team pages: HIFK 2 · HPS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.27Total

HIFK 22.68

HPS1.6

1X2

60% 19% 21%

HIFK 2 Draw HPS

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

HIFK 2 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WWDLDDDLLW

HPS 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWLDDLLL

Head-to-head

HIFK 2 0–2–4 HPS (6 last)

HPS5-5HIFK 2
HIFK 20-2HPS
HPS3-0HIFK 2
HIFK 20-3HPS
HIFK 21-1HPS
HIFK 22-3HPS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HIFK 2 1495 · HPS 1479

	HIFK 2	Draw	HPS
Our model	60%	19%	21%
Market	60%	20%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 4.27 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours HPS: 4-2-0.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	HIFK 2	HPS
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 2.2	2.2 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	1 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.3	2.9 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.3 / 0.3	4.6 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.50

24.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.80

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 41.98

Under 41.82

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 4.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
04:11 +7’	1.50	4.50	4.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · HIFK 2 0–2–4 HPS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/08/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	HPS	5-5 HT 2-3	HIFK 2
22/05/26 Finland Kakkonen Group A	HIFK 2	0-2 HT 0-0	HPS
26/07/24 Finland Kolmonen	HPS	3-0 HT 1-0	HIFK 2
20/04/24 Finland Kolmonen	HIFK 2	0-3 HT 0-3	HPS
21/08/21 Finland Kolmonen	HIFK 2	1-1 HT 0-0	HPS
05/09/19 Finland Kolmonen	HIFK 2	2-3 HT 2-0	HPS

Standings · Finland Kakkonen Group A · Kakkonen 2026, Championship Round, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kiffen	19	13	3	3	43	25	42
2	PEPO	19	11	5	3	37	24	38
3	Atlantis	19	10	2	7	63	46	32
4	HIFK 2	19	8	6	5	41	34	30
5	HPS	19	7	4	8	40	43	25
6	PPJ	19	5	9	5	34	32	24

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	HIFK 2	HPS
Atlantis	2-1 W	3-5 L
PEPO	1-5 L	0-2 L
Puiu	2-2 D	2-0 W
Kiffen	1-1 D	1-2 L
PPJ	1-2 L	2-2 D
Reipas	1-1 D	3-2 W
MyPa	4-0 W	5-2 W
Union Plaani	3-0 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HIFK 2

WWDLDDDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-2	1-5	6	3	L
15/08	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-1	3-5	–	–	L
08/08	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	2-2	6	9	D
01/08	HPS Finland Kakkonen Group A	3-2	5-5	3	13	D
25/07	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
16/07	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	1-2	5	4	L
12/07	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-0	1-1	3	4	D
04/07	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	4-0	6	7	W
27/06	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	3-0	–	–	W

HPS

WWLWLDDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	1-2	5	4	L
22/08	Kiffen Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	1-5	1	3	L
15/08	Union Plaani Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-2	0-3	7	7	L
07/08	PPJ Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-1	2-2	8	5	D
01/08	HIFK 2 Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-3	5-5	6	13	D
25/07	Atlantis Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-3	3-5	12	3	L
18/07	MyPa Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-1	5-2	9	5	W
11/07	PEPO Finland Kakkonen Group A	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
04/07	Reipas Finland Kakkonen Group A	2-0	3-2	2	4	W
27/06	Puiu Finland Kakkonen Group A	1-0	2-0	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HIFK 2 vs HPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HIFK 2 win (60%). Probabilities: HIFK 2 60%, draw 19%, HPS 21%.

How many goals are expected in HIFK 2 vs HPS?

The model expects 4.27 goals (HIFK 2 2.68 · HPS 1.6), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in HIFK 2 vs HPS?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.